Language:English
Oleksandra Oliynykova v Simona Waltert
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)
Prediction 43.18%2.32fair odd
EV +13.12%
Edge +5.01%
Kelly +8.10%
Growth +1.06%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%43.63%43.70%54.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.742.122.172.6257.47%47.13%45.98%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Simona Waltert (Visit)
Prediction 56.82%1.76fair odd
EV +20.46%
Edge +9.65%
Kelly +18.27%
Growth +3.74%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%56.37%56.30%64.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.711.652.1268.97%58.53%60.79%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local): 43.18%; Simona Waltert (Visit): 56.82%. For Simona Waltert (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -24.87%E -14.29%K -33.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +20.46%E +9.65%K +18.27%G +3.74% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -21.42%E -11.77%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV +16.49%E +8.04%K +15.70%G +2.59% | 3.7% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -22.28%E -12.38%K -27.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +13.65%E +6.82%K +13.65%G +1.86% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -17.96%E -9.45%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV +13.08%E +6.57%K +13.21%G +1.73% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -20.55%E -11.17%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV +11.94%E +6.06%K +12.31%G +1.47% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -19.69%E -10.59%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +11.37%E +5.80%K +11.85%G +1.35% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -19.69%E -10.59%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +11.37%E +5.80%K +11.85%G +1.35% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -20.55%E -11.17%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV +11.37%E +5.80%K +11.85%G +1.35% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -21.42%E -11.77%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV +10.80%E +5.54%K +11.37%G +1.23% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 15:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -22.28%E -12.38%K -27.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +10.80%E +5.54%K +11.37%G +1.23% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -20.99%E -11.47%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV +10.24%E +5.28%K +10.89%G +1.11% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 15:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -17.53%E -9.18%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +8.53%E +4.47%K +9.38%G +0.800% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 15:22 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -22.28%E -12.38%K -27.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV +7.96%E +4.19%K +8.85%G +0.705% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -20.99%E -11.47%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV +6.83%E +3.63%K +7.76%G +0.530% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -20.99%E -11.47%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV +6.83%E +3.63%K +7.76%G +0.530% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -11.49%E -5.60%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.576%E +0.326%K +0.748%G +0.004% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -11.49%E -5.60%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -0.560%E -0.320%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.33%E -4.44%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.70%E -0.981%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.60%E -3.55%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.49%E -5.60%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.49%E -5.60%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.33%E -4.44%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.87%E -2.69%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.49%E -5.60%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 15:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.31%E -2.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.81%E -4.15%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 15:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.33%E -4.44%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -7.38%E -4.53%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.692%E -0.301%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.692%E -0.301%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.692%E -0.301%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.692%E -0.301%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.692%E -0.301%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -13.65%E -6.82%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.52%E -5.29%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.692%E -0.301%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.08%E -5.68%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -1.56%E -0.682%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -9.08%E -5.68%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.08%E -5.68%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.08%E -5.68%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.08%E -5.68%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.17%E -3.33%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.65%E -6.07%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +4.49%E +1.85%K +3.16%G +0.142% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -10.79%E -6.87%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -3.71%E -1.67%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -10.79%E -6.87%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.01%EV -10.19%E -4.90%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.99%EV -10.79%E -6.87%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.71%E -1.67%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.36%E -7.28%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -0.692%E -0.301%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.92%E -7.69%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV +3.63%E +1.51%K +2.59%G +0.094% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -12.49%E -8.11%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +2.76%E +1.16%K +2.00%G +0.055% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -13.06%E -8.54%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -13.63%E -8.97%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +7.94%E +3.18%K +5.30%G +0.421% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -15.90%E -10.74%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +7.94%E +3.18%K +5.30%G +0.421% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -15.90%E -10.74%K -33.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +13.12%E +5.01%K +8.10%G +1.06% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -17.61%E -12.14%K -39.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 15:24 |