L’École des cotes

Oksana Selekhmeteva v Leolia Jeanjean

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Local)

Prévision 59.55%1.68cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -4.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%59.85%59.43%63.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.561.561.6368.97%63.99%63.90%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leolia Jeanjean (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.45%2.47cote équitable
EV +9.21%
Avantage +3.41%
Kelly +5.42%
Croissance +0.499%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.02%40.15%40.57%42.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.362.302.7047.62%42.38%43.48%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -9.48%E -6.24%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV +9.21%E +3.41%K +5.42%G +0.499%2.8%2026-04-22 15:35
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +7.19%E +2.71%K +4.36%G +0.313%4.4%2026-04-22 15:49
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +5.98%E +2.28%K +3.69%G +0.220%3.5%2026-04-22 15:35
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +5.98%E +2.28%K +3.69%G +0.220%3.5%2026-04-22 15:35
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.29%E -5.38%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +3.14%E +1.23%K +2.03%G +0.064%4.2%2026-04-22 15:59
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.48%E -6.24%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.14%E +1.23%K +2.03%G +0.064%5.0%2026-04-22 15:54
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.48%E -6.24%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.14%E +1.23%K +2.03%G +0.064%5.0%2026-04-22 15:54
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.14%E +1.23%K +2.03%G +0.064%5.9%2026-04-22 15:34
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -13.65%E -9.41%K -30.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV +3.14%E +1.23%K +2.03%G +0.064%8.2%2026-04-22 15:34
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -8.29%E -5.38%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV +1.53%E +0.608%K +1.01%G +0.015%4.8%2026-04-22 16:01
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.748%G +0.008%5.4%2026-04-22 15:34
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -10.08%E -6.67%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.748%G +0.008%6.2%2026-04-22 16:01
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.748%G +0.008%6.7%2026-04-22 15:33
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.748%G +0.008%6.7%2026-04-22 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.748%G +0.008%6.7%2026-04-22 15:34
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -9.48%E -6.24%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -0.901%E -0.368%K -0.621%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:13
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:14
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.70%E -4.96%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:14
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:52
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 15:29
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -11.27%E -7.56%K -23.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:14
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:14
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.29%E -5.38%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.95%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:14
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.75%E -2.47%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.75%E -2.47%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.53%E -2.18%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:15
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:15
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:13
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.70%E -4.96%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 16:14
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:14
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -3.53%E -2.18%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -8.59%E -3.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:14
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:15
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:14
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:15
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:15
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:15
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:14
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:14
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:14
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:15
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -9.80%E -4.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 16:14
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.01%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:14
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.01%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:13
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.01%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.10%E -4.55%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -11.01%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:14
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.22%EV -7.70%E -4.96%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.78%EV -12.63%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -8.29%E -5.38%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -15.06%E -7.17%K -13.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 16:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-04-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-22 16:15
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-04-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-04-22 16:15
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%4.0%2026-04-22 16:15
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%7.3%2026-04-22 16:15