La escuela de los momios

Oksana Selekhmeteva v Leolia Jeanjean

Inicio: 2026-04-22 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Local)

Predicción 59.55%1.68momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -4.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.69%59.85%59.43%63.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.561.561.6368.97%63.99%63.90%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante)

Predicción 40.45%2.47momio equitativo
EV +9.21%
Ventaja +3.41%
Kelly +5.42%
Crecimiento +0.499%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.02%40.15%40.57%42.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.362.302.7047.62%42.38%43.48%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -9.48%E -6.24%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV +9.21%E +3.41%K +5.42%G +0.499%2.8%2026-04-22 15:35
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +7.19%E +2.71%K +4.36%G +0.313%4.4%2026-04-22 15:49
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +5.98%E +2.28%K +3.69%G +0.220%3.5%2026-04-22 15:35
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV +5.98%E +2.28%K +3.69%G +0.220%3.5%2026-04-22 15:35
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -8.29%E -5.38%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +3.14%E +1.23%K +2.03%G +0.064%4.2%2026-04-22 15:59
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.48%E -6.24%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.14%E +1.23%K +2.03%G +0.064%5.0%2026-04-22 15:54
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.48%E -6.24%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.14%E +1.23%K +2.03%G +0.064%5.0%2026-04-22 15:54
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.14%E +1.23%K +2.03%G +0.064%5.9%2026-04-22 15:34
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -13.65%E -9.41%K -30.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV +3.14%E +1.23%K +2.03%G +0.064%8.2%2026-04-22 15:34
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -8.29%E -5.38%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV +1.53%E +0.608%K +1.01%G +0.015%4.8%2026-04-22 16:01
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.748%G +0.008%5.4%2026-04-22 15:34
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -10.08%E -6.67%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.748%G +0.008%6.2%2026-04-22 16:01
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.748%G +0.008%6.7%2026-04-22 15:33
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.748%G +0.008%6.7%2026-04-22 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.12%E +0.449%K +0.748%G +0.008%6.7%2026-04-22 15:34
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -9.48%E -6.24%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -0.901%E -0.368%K -0.621%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:13
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:14
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.70%E -4.96%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:14
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 15:52
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.67%E -7.12%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 15:29
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -11.27%E -7.56%K -23.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.92%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:14
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.14%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 16:14
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.29%E -5.38%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.95%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:14
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.75%E -2.47%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.75%E -2.47%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.53%E -2.18%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:15
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:15
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:13
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.70%E -4.96%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 16:14
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.89%E -5.81%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:14
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 16:14
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -3.53%E -2.18%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -8.59%E -3.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:14
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:15
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:14
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:15
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:15
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:15
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:14
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:14
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:14
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.72%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:15
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -9.80%E -4.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 16:14
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.01%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:14
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.01%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:13
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.01%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.10%E -4.55%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -11.01%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:14
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.22%EV -7.70%E -4.96%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.78%EV -12.63%E -5.85%K -10.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -8.29%E -5.38%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -15.06%E -7.17%K -13.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 16:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-04-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-22 16:15
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-04-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-04-22 16:15
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%4.0%2026-04-22 16:15
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%7.3%2026-04-22 16:15