The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Nikola Bartunkova v Katarzyna Kawa

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 08:13 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Prediction 62.59%1.60fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +5.03%
Growth +0.164%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%62.97%60.87%70.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.481.451.6573.53%67.77%68.97%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katarzyna Kawa (Visit)

Prediction 37.41%2.67fair odd
EV +20.47%
Edge +6.36%
Kelly +9.22%
Growth +1.89%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.85%37.03%39.13%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.652.603.2245.45%37.81%38.46%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 62.59%; Katarzyna Kawa (Visit): 37.41%. For Katarzyna Kawa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -14.26%E -10.41%K -38.53%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV +20.47%E +6.36%K +9.22%G +1.89%4.0%2026-04-20 08:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -11.13%E -7.84%K -26.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +12.24%E +4.08%K +6.12%G +0.749%3.8%2026-04-20 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -11.13%E -7.84%K -26.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +12.24%E +4.08%K +6.12%G +0.749%3.8%2026-04-20 08:05
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -13.63%E -9.88%K -35.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +12.24%E +4.08%K +6.12%G +0.749%5.8%2026-04-20 08:08
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -12.38%E -8.84%K -30.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV +11.49%E +3.86%K +5.80%G +0.667%5.0%2026-04-20 07:59
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -14.88%E -10.94%K -41.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +8.50%E +2.93%K +4.47%G +0.380%8.0%2026-04-20 07:59
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -12.38%E -8.84%K -30.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +2.89%E +1.05%K +1.65%G +0.048%7.8%2026-04-20 08:02
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.25%E -6.38%K -20.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 08:09
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.25%E -6.38%K -20.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.73%E -1.05%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 08:09
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 08:09
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 08:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 08:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.24%E -2.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 08:09
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.486%E -0.306%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.95%E -6.07%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 08:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +3.27%E +1.98%K +5.03%G +0.164%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -15.82%E -7.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 08:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV +0.139%E +0.087%K +0.232%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -17.69%E -8.04%K -14.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 08:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%5.5%2026-04-20 08:10