Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva v Dalma Galfi

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prediction 86.91%1.15fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -32.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.46%86.57%87.09%88.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.091.1194.34%91.87%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dalma Galfi (Visit)

Prediction 13.09%7.64fair odd
EV +9.28%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.117%

assuming max odds 8.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.64%13.43%12.91%16.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.407.027.108.3518.52%14.25%14.08%11.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 86.91%; Dalma Galfi (Visit): 13.09%. For Dalma Galfi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.64. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.36%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.96%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.64%EV +9.28%E +1.11%K +1.26%G +0.117%2.9%2026-04-24 03:35
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.70%E +0.588%K +0.671%G +0.032%5.1%2026-04-23 21:19
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.68%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +2.08%E +0.267%K +0.306%G +0.006%5.4%2026-04-23 22:05
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.53%E -3.18%K -32.07%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +1.43%E +0.184%K +0.212%G +0.003%3.0%2026-04-24 02:19
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.50%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV +0.774%E +0.101%K +0.116%G +0.001%4.7%2026-04-24 02:15
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.84%E -0.246%K -0.284%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.84%E -0.246%K -0.284%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.84%E -0.246%K -0.284%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:06
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.10%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.50%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.90%EV -3.68%E -0.499%K -0.578%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.50%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -4.46%E -0.611%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:25
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.96%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.12%E -0.706%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 03:37
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.00%E -6.55%K -100.05%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.12%E -0.706%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.87%E -7.43%K -131.21%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -5.77%E -0.801%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:19
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.39%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.39%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.39%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.39%E -1.20%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 22:04
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -11.66%E -1.73%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:59
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.93%E -2.30%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.93%E -2.30%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:09
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.27%E -4.83%K -58.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -14.93%E -2.30%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 00:44
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.40%E -4.00%K -43.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.47%E -3.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 23:25
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -6.13%E -5.68%K -76.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -24.09%E -4.15%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 21:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.00%E -6.55%K -100.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -28.02%E -5.09%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -7.00%E -6.55%K -100.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -29.33%E -5.43%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%12.0%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 50.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 49.07%85.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 50.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 49.07%85.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 50.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 49.07%85.2%2026-04-24 03:05