The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Martina Trevisan v Sinja Kraus

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Martina Trevisan (Local)

Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV +11.80%
Edge +2.71%
Kelly +3.52%
Growth +0.416%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.46%25.45%25.68%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.663.644.3530.77%27.29%27.47%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sinja Kraus (Visit)

Prediction 74.30%1.35fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.889%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%74.55%74.32%77.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.261.3381.97%78.84%79.37%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Martina Trevisan (Local): 25.70%; Sinja Kraus (Visit): 74.30%. For Martina Trevisan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%EV +11.80%E +2.71%K +3.52%G +0.416%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%EV -6.38%E -5.07%K -24.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-20 17:55
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.80%E +0.701%K +0.935%G +0.026%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.13%E -5.70%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 17:53
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.80%E +0.701%K +0.935%G +0.026%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.36%E -7.67%K -42.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 17:55
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.34%E -0.615%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.36%E -7.67%K -42.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 17:55
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.62%E -0.966%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 17:55
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.62%E -0.966%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.13%E -5.70%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 17:55
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.62%E -0.966%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.36%E -7.67%K -42.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 17:55
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.19%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.13%E -5.70%K -28.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 17:54
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.19%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.13%E -5.70%K -28.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.37%EV -6.70%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.63%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.37%EV -6.70%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.63%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 16:25
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.38%E -5.07%K -24.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 17:54
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.48%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.13%E -5.70%K -28.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 17:55
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.05%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 17:54
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -15.19%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 17:55
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -16.47%E -5.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.18%E -0.889%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -16.47%E -5.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-04-20 17:55
Smarkets◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-04-20 17:55
Novig◎3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%3.1%2026-04-20 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%4.0%2026-04-20 17:55