StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Magdalena Frech v Katerina Siniakova

Matchstart: 2026-04-22 08:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Magdalena Frech (Hemma)

Prognos 42.19%2.37rättvist odds
EV -0.441%
Fördel -0.187%
Kelly -0.324%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.40%42.29%42.05%45.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.242.252.3647.62%44.73%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Katerina Siniakova (Borta)

Prognos 57.81%1.73rättvist odds
EV +0.596%
Fördel +0.343%
Kelly +0.806%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.92%57.71%57.95%59.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.641.641.7463.69%60.91%60.98%57.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Magdalena Frech (Hemma): 42.19%; Katerina Siniakova (Borta): 57.81%. För Katerina Siniakova (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.73. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.74, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.596%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -10.57%E -4.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +0.596%E +0.343%K +0.806%G +0.005%4.6%2026-04-21 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -10.14%E -4.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -0.560%E -0.326%K -0.778%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -4.66%E -2.06%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -1.72%E -1.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.72%E -1.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.72%E -1.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 15:30
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.29%E -1.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 19:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 08:10
Coolbet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.13%E -0.917%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-20 23:14
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 09:05
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 05:11
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 15:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 08:10
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.863%E -0.367%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 08:00
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 15:54
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 15:55
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.24%E -1.87%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 15:08
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.24%E -1.87%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 15:09
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 17:05
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.82%E -1.67%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.76%E -3.54%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 09:20
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.55%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 12:18
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 09:19
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -3.39%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 09:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 17:05
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 17:05
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -0.441%E -0.187%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -7.50%E -4.69%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 17:00
ReBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.61%E -3.48%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.50%E -4.69%K -12.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 08:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.65%E -5.48%K -14.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 15:09
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 17:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 08:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.7%2026-04-21 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-04-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-04-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-04-21 18:40
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%8.8%2026-04-21 08:45
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%8.8%2026-04-21 08:15