La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Magdalena Frech v Katerina Siniakova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Predicción 42.19%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.441%
Ventaja -0.187%
Kelly -0.324%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.40%42.29%42.05%45.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3647.62%44.73%44.44%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Katerina Siniakova (Visitante)
Predicción 57.81%1.73momio equitativo
EV +0.596%
Ventaja +0.343%
Kelly +0.806%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.92%57.71%57.95%59.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.641.641.7463.69%60.91%60.98%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -10.57%E -4.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +0.596%E +0.343%K +0.806%G +0.005% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -10.14%E -4.76%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -0.560%E -0.326%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -4.66%E -2.06%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -1.72%E -1.01%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.72%E -1.01%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.35%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.72%E -1.01%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.29%E -1.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 19:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.87%E -1.71%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 08:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.13%E -0.917%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-20 23:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 09:05 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 05:11 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.45%E -2.07%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 15:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.03%E -2.43%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 08:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.863%E -0.367%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 08:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 15:54 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 15:55 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.41%E -5.43%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.61%E -2.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 15:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.24%E -1.87%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 15:08 |
| Betsson | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.24%E -1.87%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 15:09 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.16%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.82%E -1.67%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.76%E -3.54%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 09:20 |
| GTbets | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.55%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 12:18 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 09:19 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -3.39%E -1.48%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 09:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.93%E -2.66%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.34%E -3.91%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.97%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 13:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 12:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.19%E -3.27%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.92%E -4.30%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 17:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -0.441%E -0.187%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -7.50%E -4.69%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| ReBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.61%E -3.48%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.50%E -4.69%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 08:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.30%E -4.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.65%E -5.48%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 15:09 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 17:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.08%E -2.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.23%E -5.88%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 08:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29% | 2.7% | 2026-04-21 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 08:45 |
| Novig | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 08:15 |