The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Leylah Fernandez v Iva Jović

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prediction 37.50%2.67fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%37.36%37.56%39.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.512.502.7542.55%39.85%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iva Jović (Visit)

Prediction 62.50%1.60fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -8.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.72%62.64%62.44%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.501.511.5368.97%66.53%66.23%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 37.50%; Iva Jović (Visit): 62.50%. For Leylah Fernandez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.14%E +1.14%K +1.79%G +0.056%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.38%E -6.47%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.615%E -0.232%K -0.372%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 02:19
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -0.990%E -0.375%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 21:25
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.36%E -0.519%K -0.837%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.26%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:15
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.49%E -0.958%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 02:16
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.24%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -3.24%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -6.26%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:25
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.36%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.63%E -3.73%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.36%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.26%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:19
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.36%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.38%E -6.47%K -20.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 02:14
FanDuel🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.74%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.01%E -3.29%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:14
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.01%E -3.29%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 21:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.01%E -3.29%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.24%E -2.50%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.26%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.99%E -2.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.26%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:15
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.38%E -2.86%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:15
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.12%E -3.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.26%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:14
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.01%E -3.29%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 00:39
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.99%E -4.16%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.26%E -4.17%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 02:28
ReBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.08%EV -10.37%E -4.34%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -8.13%E -5.53%K -17.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 02:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.01%E -3.29%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.38%E -6.47%K -20.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 02:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.87%E -5.05%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.38%E -6.47%K -20.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 02:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 38.30%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.70%12.5%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00%1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00%81.8%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00%1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00%81.8%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00%1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00%81.8%2026-04-23 22:34