Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.00
assuming max odds 1.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leolia Jeanjean (Local): 33.95%; Rebeka Masarova (Visit): 66.05%. For Leolia Jeanjean (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.86%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.86%E +0.620%K +0.929%G +0.017% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.858%E -0.294%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.858%E -0.294%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 08:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.54%E -0.530%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -1.54%E -0.530%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.18%E -7.48%K -28.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 08:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.21%E -4.38%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -5.27%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 08:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 08:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 08:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.63%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.33%E -3.08%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.53%E -5.38%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.22%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.89%E -3.40%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 09:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -5.55%E -3.88%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.85%E -6.42%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 08:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.12%E -6.05%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.929%E -0.620%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 0.3% | 2026-04-21 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 2.8% | 2026-04-21 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 09:08 |