A Escola das Odds

Laura Siegemund v Jasmine Paolini

Início: 2026-04-23 13:13 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Laura Siegemund (Local)

Previsão 45.98%2.17odd justa
EV +38.86%
Vantagem +12.87%
Kelly +19.24%
Crescimento +7.48%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.98%44.99%46.12%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.852.252.103.0254.05%44.53%47.62%33.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jasmine Paolini (Visitante)

Previsão 54.02%1.85odd justa
EV +1.02%
Vantagem +0.544%
Kelly +1.17%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%55.01%53.88%68.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.651.681.8771.43%60.74%59.52%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV +38.86%E +12.87%K +19.24%G +7.48%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -23.29%E -16.40%K -55.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 13:05
SportsBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV +29.66%E +10.52%K +16.30%G +4.83%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -22.21%E -15.42%K -50.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:55
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +28.74%E +10.27%K +15.97%G +4.59%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -21.67%E -14.95%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 12:50
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +28.74%E +10.27%K +15.97%G +4.59%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -22.21%E -15.42%K -50.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:50
GTbets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV +27.82%E +10.01%K +15.63%G +4.35%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -22.21%E -15.42%K -50.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:45
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +27.36%E +9.88%K +15.46%G +4.23%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -21.13%E -14.47%K -45.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:53
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +26.44%E +9.62%K +15.11%G +4.00%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -21.67%E -14.95%K -48.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:50
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +26.44%E +9.62%K +15.11%G +4.00%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -22.21%E -15.42%K -50.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:50
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +26.44%E +9.62%K +15.11%G +4.00%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -22.75%E -15.91%K -52.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:49
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +26.44%E +9.62%K +15.11%G +4.00%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -24.37%E -17.41%K -60.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:48
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +25.07%E +9.22%K +14.57%G +3.65%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -19.51%E -13.09%K -39.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 12:57
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +25.07%E +9.22%K +14.57%G +3.65%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -19.51%E -13.09%K -39.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 12:57
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +24.15%E +8.94%K +14.20%G +3.43%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -21.67%E -14.95%K -48.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:53
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +24.15%E +8.94%K +14.20%G +3.43%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -21.67%E -14.95%K -48.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:50
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +24.15%E +8.94%K +14.20%G +3.43%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -23.29%E -16.40%K -55.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +24.15%E +8.94%K +14.20%G +3.43%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -23.29%E -16.40%K -55.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +2.54%E +1.14%K +2.06%G +0.052%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.33%E -6.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:05
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +2.54%E +1.14%K +2.06%G +0.052%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.33%E -6.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:05
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +2.54%E +1.14%K +2.06%G +0.052%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.33%E -6.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:05
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.16%E +0.525%K +0.963%G +0.011%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.79%E -5.86%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:03
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.16%E +0.525%K +0.963%G +0.011%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 13:05
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.16%E +0.525%K +0.963%G +0.011%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 13:05
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV +0.236%E +0.108%K +0.200%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV +0.236%E +0.108%K +0.200%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -11.41%E -6.96%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:05
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV +0.236%E +0.108%K +0.200%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -11.41%E -6.96%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:05
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -0.684%E -0.316%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -12.49%E -7.71%K -20.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 13:05
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:04
DraftKings2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -2.52%E -1.19%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.17%E -4.80%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 13:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -12.49%E -7.71%K -20.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 13:04
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -15.19%E -9.67%K -26.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 13:05
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.84%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:04
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:05
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.00%E -3.45%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 13:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:04
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.17%E -4.80%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:04
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.17%E -4.80%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:04
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.20%E -3.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.84%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.12%E -3.53%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.76%E -1.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 13:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:05
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:04
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 13:05
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 13:05
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.00%E -3.45%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.34%E -5.30%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.72%E -6.10%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.17%E -4.80%K -11.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 13:05
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -12.18%E -6.38%K -13.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:05
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -14.02%E -7.50%K -16.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +1.02%E +0.544%K +1.17%G +0.012%7.0%2026-04-23 13:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.94%E -8.07%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.063%E -0.034%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.94%E -8.07%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.063%E -0.034%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.94%E -8.07%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.063%E -0.034%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-04-23 13:05
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%3.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%8.9%2026-04-23 13:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%9.2%2026-04-23 13:05