L’École des cotes

Laura Siegemund v Jasmine Paolini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 13:13 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Laura Siegemund (Local)

Prévision 45.98%2.17cote équitable
EV +38.86%
Avantage +12.87%
Kelly +19.24%
Croissance +7.48%

avec la cote maximale 3.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.98%44.99%46.12%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.252.103.0254.05%44.53%47.62%33.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jasmine Paolini (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.02%1.85cote équitable
EV +1.02%
Avantage +0.544%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%55.01%53.88%68.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.651.681.8771.43%60.74%59.52%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV +38.86%E +12.87%K +19.24%G +7.48%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -23.29%E -16.40%K -55.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 13:05
SportsBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV +29.66%E +10.52%K +16.30%G +4.83%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -22.21%E -15.42%K -50.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:55
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +28.74%E +10.27%K +15.97%G +4.59%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -21.67%E -14.95%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 12:50
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +28.74%E +10.27%K +15.97%G +4.59%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -22.21%E -15.42%K -50.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:50
GTbets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV +27.82%E +10.01%K +15.63%G +4.35%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -22.21%E -15.42%K -50.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 12:45
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +27.36%E +9.88%K +15.46%G +4.23%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -21.13%E -14.47%K -45.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:53
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +26.44%E +9.62%K +15.11%G +4.00%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -21.67%E -14.95%K -48.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 12:50
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +26.44%E +9.62%K +15.11%G +4.00%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -22.21%E -15.42%K -50.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:50
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +26.44%E +9.62%K +15.11%G +4.00%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -22.75%E -15.91%K -52.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:49
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +26.44%E +9.62%K +15.11%G +4.00%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -24.37%E -17.41%K -60.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:48
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +25.07%E +9.22%K +14.57%G +3.65%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -19.51%E -13.09%K -39.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 12:57
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +25.07%E +9.22%K +14.57%G +3.65%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -19.51%E -13.09%K -39.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 12:57
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +24.15%E +8.94%K +14.20%G +3.43%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -21.67%E -14.95%K -48.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:53
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +24.15%E +8.94%K +14.20%G +3.43%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -21.67%E -14.95%K -48.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:50
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +24.15%E +8.94%K +14.20%G +3.43%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -23.29%E -16.40%K -55.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +24.15%E +8.94%K +14.20%G +3.43%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -23.29%E -16.40%K -55.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 12:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +2.54%E +1.14%K +2.06%G +0.052%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.33%E -6.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:05
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +2.54%E +1.14%K +2.06%G +0.052%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.33%E -6.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:05
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +2.54%E +1.14%K +2.06%G +0.052%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -10.33%E -6.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:05
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.16%E +0.525%K +0.963%G +0.011%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.79%E -5.86%K -14.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:03
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.16%E +0.525%K +0.963%G +0.011%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 13:05
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.16%E +0.525%K +0.963%G +0.011%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 13:05
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV +0.236%E +0.108%K +0.200%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV +0.236%E +0.108%K +0.200%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -11.41%E -6.96%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:05
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV +0.236%E +0.108%K +0.200%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -11.41%E -6.96%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:05
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -0.684%E -0.316%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -12.49%E -7.71%K -20.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 13:05
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -1.14%E -0.532%K -0.994%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:04
DraftKings2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -2.52%E -1.19%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -8.17%E -4.80%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 13:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -12.49%E -7.71%K -20.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 13:04
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -15.19%E -9.67%K -26.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 13:05
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.84%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:04
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 13:05
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.00%E -3.45%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 13:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 13:04
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.17%E -4.80%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:04
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.17%E -4.80%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 13:04
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 13:05
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.20%E -3.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.84%E -2.16%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.12%E -3.53%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.76%E -1.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 13:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:05
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:04
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 13:05
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.55%E -3.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 13:05
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.00%E -3.45%K -8.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.34%E -5.30%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 13:04
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.72%E -6.10%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.17%E -4.80%K -11.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 13:05
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -12.18%E -6.38%K -13.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:05
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -14.02%E -7.50%K -16.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +1.02%E +0.544%K +1.17%G +0.012%7.0%2026-04-23 13:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.94%E -8.07%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.063%E -0.034%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.94%E -8.07%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.063%E -0.034%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.94%E -8.07%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.063%E -0.034%K -0.074%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-04-23 13:05
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%3.6%2026-04-23 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.42%8.9%2026-04-23 13:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%9.2%2026-04-23 13:05