Language:English
Laura Samson v Anna Bondár
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Laura Samson (Local)
Prediction 30.01%3.33fair odd
EV -0.969%
Edge -0.294%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%29.95%29.96%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.603.103.153.3038.46%32.26%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anna Bondár (Visit)
Prediction 69.99%1.43fair odd
EV +3.59%
Edge +2.42%
Kelly +7.47%
Growth +0.268%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%70.05%70.04%71.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.4876.92%74.03%74.07%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laura Samson (Local): 30.01%; Anna Bondár (Visit): 69.99%. For Anna Bondár (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -21.98%E -8.45%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +3.59%E +2.42%K +7.47%G +0.268% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 13:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.47%E -0.760%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.41%E -2.47%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.41%E -2.47%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.11%E -3.00%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.11%E -3.00%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.11%E -3.00%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -6.07%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.11%E -3.00%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.81%E -3.54%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 19:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.81%E -3.54%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.81%E -3.54%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.81%E -3.54%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.51%E -4.08%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.51%E -4.08%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.51%E -4.08%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.51%E -4.08%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.51%E -4.08%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.51%E -4.08%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.47%E -0.760%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.21%E -4.64%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.91%E -5.20%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.91%E -5.20%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -7.61%E -5.77%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -0.969%E -0.294%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.31%E -6.35%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.47%E -0.760%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.31%E -6.35%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.49%EV -14.47%E -5.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.51%EV -8.31%E -6.35%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -15.97%E -5.70%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.13%EV -8.31%E -6.35%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.01%E -6.93%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 38.61% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 61.39% | 39.2% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |