Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanne Vandewinkel v Daria Snigur

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanne Vandewinkel (Local)

Prediction 60.67%1.65fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.67%60.87%62.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.541.6167.57%64.76%64.94%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daria Snigur (Visit)

Prediction 39.33%2.54fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.421%
Kelly +0.689%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.62%39.33%39.13%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.382.5744.44%41.67%42.02%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanne Vandewinkel (Local): 60.67%; Daria Snigur (Visit): 39.33%. For Daria Snigur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.96%E -3.85%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV +1.08%E +0.421%K +0.689%G +0.007%3.4%2026-04-21 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.491%E -0.194%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 13:35
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -5.36%E -3.43%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -0.885%E -0.351%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.78%E -5.12%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.67%E -0.669%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.18%E -4.69%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.46%E -0.991%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 13:54
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.96%E -3.85%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.24%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.36%E -3.43%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.03%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 13:30
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.36%E -3.43%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.03%E -1.65%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 13:30
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.00%E -6.00%K -17.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.60%E -2.34%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 13:55
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.00%E -6.00%K -17.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.60%E -2.34%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 13:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.18%E -4.69%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 13:05
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.18%E -4.69%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.18%E -4.69%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.18%E -4.69%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.39%E -2.69%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 13:05
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.18%E -4.69%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.18%E -4.69%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 13:55
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.32%E -1.44%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.57%E -3.22%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 13:55
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.93%E -1.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.54%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.54%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.75%E -3.03%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.54%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -10.21%E -6.90%K -21.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.54%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 13:49
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -5.36%E -3.43%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-04-21 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-04-21 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-21 13:55
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-04-21 13:55
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%4.0%2026-04-21 13:55