Language:English
Hailey Baptiste v Jasmine Paolini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hailey Baptiste (Local)
Prediction 38.93%2.57fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.85%38.92%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.402.5244.44%41.40%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jasmine Paolini (Visit)
Prediction 61.07%1.64fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.15%61.08%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.551.5968.03%64.89%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hailey Baptiste (Local): 38.93%; Jasmine Paolini (Visit): 61.07%. For Hailey Baptiste (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.52, with an expected value of -1.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.91%E -0.757%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.69%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.89%E -1.82%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.69%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.72%E -3.03%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.69%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.69%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.69%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.22%E -6.95%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -3.08%E -1.24%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.24%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.72%E -3.03%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -5.02%E -2.06%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 22:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.94%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.11%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.36%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.56%E -4.28%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.53%E -3.63%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.33%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.37%EV -10.08%E -4.36%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.63%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.61%E -6.49%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.42%E -5.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.61%E -6.49%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.46% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.54% | 12.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 39.62% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.38% | 12.7% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00% | 81.8% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00% | 81.8% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 50.00% | 81.8% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |