L’École des cotes

Daria Snigur v Daria Kasatkina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 11:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daria Snigur (Local)

Prévision 36.04%2.78cote équitable
EV +18.92%
Avantage +5.73%
Kelly +8.23%
Croissance +1.56%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.88%35.55%35.80%42.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.572.503.3044.44%38.86%40.00%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daria Kasatkina (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.96%1.56cote équitable
EV +4.90%
Avantage +2.99%
Kelly +7.66%
Croissance +0.375%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.95%64.45%64.20%71.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.481.481.6476.92%67.39%67.57%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +18.92%E +5.73%K +8.23%G +1.56%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -14.29%E -10.66%K -42.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 10:59
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +15.31%E +4.79%K +6.96%G +1.07%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -14.93%E -11.22%K -45.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +15.31%E +4.79%K +6.96%G +1.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -16.85%E -12.96%K -56.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 11:00
Coolbet3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV +10.63%E +3.46%K +5.14%G +0.546%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -11.73%E -8.50%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 10:59
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +9.91%E +3.25%K +4.83%G +0.479%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -10.45%E -7.46%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 10:59
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +8.11%E +2.70%K +4.05%G +0.329%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -13.01%E -9.57%K -36.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +8.11%E +2.70%K +4.05%G +0.329%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -13.65%E -10.11%K -39.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.900%E +0.322%K +0.500%G +0.005%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 11:00
DraftKings2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV +0.540%E +0.194%K +0.302%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -8.53%E -5.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:00
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:00
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:00
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.53%E -5.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 11:00
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.69%E -3.15%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.45%E -7.46%K -26.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 11:00
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -10.99%E -4.45%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV +1.70%E +1.07%K +2.89%G +0.049%3.4%2026-04-22 10:54
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -10.99%E -4.45%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV +1.70%E +1.07%K +2.89%G +0.049%3.4%2026-04-22 10:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.71%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 11:00
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.71%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 11:00
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.71%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.71%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.71%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 11:00
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV +4.26%E +2.61%K +6.76%G +0.288%3.0%2026-04-22 10:55
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +1.06%E +0.673%K +1.83%G +0.019%5.0%2026-04-22 10:52
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.424%E +0.270%K +0.743%G +0.003%5.4%2026-04-22 10:52
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -0.216%E -0.138%K -0.386%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 10:52
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 10:49
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 10:55
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.13%E -1.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -14.23%E -5.98%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +0.424%E +0.270%K +0.743%G +0.003%5.7%2026-04-22 10:51
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:00
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 10:51
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 10:52
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -9.17%E -6.46%K -21.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 11:00
ReBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -16.76%E -7.25%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +3.62%E +2.24%K +5.84%G +0.212%5.0%2026-04-22 10:49
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -17.12%E -7.44%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 10:50
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -18.56%E -8.21%K -14.73%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV +4.90%E +2.99%K +7.66%G +0.375%5.2%2026-04-22 10:55
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -18.92%E -8.41%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +2.34%E +1.46%K +3.90%G +0.091%6.9%2026-04-22 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-22 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-22 11:00
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-22 11:00
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-04-22 11:00
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%5.0%2026-04-22 11:00