La escuela de los momios

Daria Snigur v Daria Kasatkina

Inicio: 2026-04-22 11:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Daria Snigur (Local)

Predicción 36.04%2.78momio equitativo
EV +18.92%
Ventaja +5.73%
Kelly +8.23%
Crecimiento +1.56%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.88%35.55%35.80%42.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.572.503.3044.44%38.86%40.00%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Daria Kasatkina (Visitante)

Predicción 63.96%1.56momio equitativo
EV +4.90%
Ventaja +2.99%
Kelly +7.66%
Crecimiento +0.375%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.95%64.45%64.20%71.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.481.481.6476.92%67.39%67.57%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +18.92%E +5.73%K +8.23%G +1.56%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -14.29%E -10.66%K -42.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 10:59
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +15.31%E +4.79%K +6.96%G +1.07%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -14.93%E -11.22%K -45.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +15.31%E +4.79%K +6.96%G +1.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -16.85%E -12.96%K -56.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 11:00
Coolbet3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV +10.63%E +3.46%K +5.14%G +0.546%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -11.73%E -8.50%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 10:59
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +9.91%E +3.25%K +4.83%G +0.479%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -10.45%E -7.46%K -26.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 10:59
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +8.11%E +2.70%K +4.05%G +0.329%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -13.01%E -9.57%K -36.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV +8.11%E +2.70%K +4.05%G +0.329%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -13.65%E -10.11%K -39.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.900%E +0.322%K +0.500%G +0.005%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 11:00
DraftKings2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV +0.540%E +0.194%K +0.302%G +0.002%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -8.53%E -5.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 11:00
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 11:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.70%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:00
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:00
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.11%E -3.18%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.53%E -5.97%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 11:00
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.69%E -3.15%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:00
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.91%E -3.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.45%E -7.46%K -26.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 11:00
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -10.99%E -4.45%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV +1.70%E +1.07%K +2.89%G +0.049%3.4%2026-04-22 10:54
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -10.99%E -4.45%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV +1.70%E +1.07%K +2.89%G +0.049%3.4%2026-04-22 10:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.71%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 11:00
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.71%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 11:00
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.71%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.71%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.71%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 11:00
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV +4.26%E +2.61%K +6.76%G +0.288%3.0%2026-04-22 10:55
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +1.06%E +0.673%K +1.83%G +0.019%5.0%2026-04-22 10:52
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV +0.424%E +0.270%K +0.743%G +0.003%5.4%2026-04-22 10:52
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -0.216%E -0.138%K -0.386%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 10:52
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 10:49
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 10:55
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.51%E -5.63%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.13%E -1.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 11:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -14.23%E -5.98%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +0.424%E +0.270%K +0.743%G +0.003%5.7%2026-04-22 10:51
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:00
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 10:51
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 10:52
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -9.17%E -6.46%K -21.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 11:00
ReBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -16.76%E -7.25%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV +3.62%E +2.24%K +5.84%G +0.212%5.0%2026-04-22 10:49
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -17.12%E -7.44%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -0.856%E -0.552%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 10:50
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -18.56%E -8.21%K -14.73%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV +4.90%E +2.99%K +7.66%G +0.375%5.2%2026-04-22 10:55
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -18.92%E -8.41%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +2.34%E +1.46%K +3.90%G +0.091%6.9%2026-04-22 10:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-22 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-22 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-22 11:00
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-22 11:00
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-04-22 11:00
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%5.0%2026-04-22 11:00