The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dalma Galfi v Leyre Romero Gormaz

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Prediction 62.38%1.60fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -6.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%62.96%62.27%65.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.501.501.5568.97%66.51%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leyre Romero Gormaz (Visit)

Prediction 37.62%2.66fair odd
EV +6.47%
Edge +2.29%
Kelly +3.53%
Growth +0.229%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.19%37.04%37.73%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.522.502.8342.02%39.75%40.00%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalma Galfi (Local): 62.38%; Leyre Romero Gormaz (Visit): 37.62%. For Leyre Romero Gormaz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +6.47%E +2.29%K +3.53%G +0.229%3.4%2026-04-20 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +6.47%E +2.29%K +3.53%G +0.229%3.4%2026-04-20 14:50
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.46%E +1.26%K +1.98%G +0.068%5.3%2026-04-20 14:09
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.18%E -0.840%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-20 14:10
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.94%E -2.56%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 14:36
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.19%E -2.06%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:10
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 14:49
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 14:10
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 14:10
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 14:10
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.83%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 14:50
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 14:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.46%E -4.40%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.46%E -4.40%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.46%E -4.40%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%4.2%2026-04-20 14:50