The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dalma Galfi v Darja Vidmanova

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Prediction 60.55%1.65fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.51%60.55%61.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.6167.57%64.02%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Darja Vidmanova (Visit)

Prediction 39.45%2.53fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.15%39.49%39.45%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.362.352.4843.48%42.30%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalma Galfi (Local): 60.55%; Darja Vidmanova (Visit): 39.45%. For Darja Vidmanova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -2.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-21 14:35
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 15:20
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -7.68%E -3.28%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 14:35
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 15:25
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 15:25
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 14:35
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 15:20
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -2.16%E -0.869%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 14:34
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:35
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -10.39%E -7.02%K -21.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.26%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-04-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-21 15:25
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-21 15:25
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%3.9%2026-04-21 15:25