Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Caty McNally v Victoria Mboko

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Caty McNally (Local)

Prediction 27.18%3.68fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.409%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%27.20%27.08%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.6431.25%28.80%28.57%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Victoria Mboko (Visit)

Prediction 72.82%1.37fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -7.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%72.80%72.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.81%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Caty McNally (Local): 27.18%; Victoria Mboko (Visit): 72.82%. For Caty McNally (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.64, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -1.08%E -0.297%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:25
Pinnacle🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72%EV -1.62%E -0.449%K -0.620%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:05
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.17%E -0.602%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.14%E -2.36%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 21:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.17%E -0.602%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 21:24
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.17%E -0.602%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:24
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.17%E -0.602%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:24
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.17%E -0.602%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.24%E -6.54%K -31.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.25%E -0.914%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -3.25%E -0.914%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.53%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:24
DraftKings🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.80%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.60%E -3.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 02:15
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.34%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.42%E -1.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 23:20
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:16
GTbets🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.60%E -3.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.60%E -3.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 22:49
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.60%E -3.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.60%E -3.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:24
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:19
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:39
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:39
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:24
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:49
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:49
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:49
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:50
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:50
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:50
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:50
Bally Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 21:25
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.89%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.78%E -5.30%K -24.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:20
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.24%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.60%E -3.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.24%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.60%E -3.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:24
Fanatics🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.24%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.60%E -3.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:32
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.24%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:55
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.60%E -3.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:04
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:14
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:50
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.60%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.51%E -5.92%K -27.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 21:24
BetUS🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -8.42%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -3.87%E -2.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.96%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.60%E -3.51%K -14.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.96%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.96%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 22:50
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.32%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.32%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:14
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.32%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.06%E -4.70%K -20.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:25
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.32%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.78%E -5.30%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:40
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.04%E -4.07%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.33%E -4.10%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-04-24 02:35
Novig3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%2.8%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%3.0%2026-04-24 02:35
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%3.0%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%3.0%2026-04-24 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%3.0%2026-04-24 02:40