Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Jaqueline Cristian

Início: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 92.44%1.08odd justa
EV -2.94%
Vantagem -2.80%
Kelly -58.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
89.40%92.45%92.69%94.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.41%97.09%95.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante)

Previsão 7.56%13.23odd justa
EV +43.66%
Vantagem +2.30%
Kelly +2.43%
Crescimento +1.06%

pressupondo odds máximas de 19.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.09%7.55%7.31%10.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.6012.3712.0019.0011.63%8.08%8.33%5.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 92.44%; Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante): 7.56%. Para Jaqueline Cristian (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 13.23. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 19.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +43.66%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +43.66%E +2.30%K +2.43%G +1.06%3.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.54%E +1.68%K +1.78%G +0.509%3.0%2026-04-23 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.12%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +24.76%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.395%3.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +20.98%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.293%3.3%2026-04-24 03:25
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.94%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%15.80I 6.33%NM 6.06%EV +19.46%E +1.23%K +1.32%G +0.256%4.4%2026-04-23 18:45
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.41%E +0.894%K +0.958%G +0.129%3.8%2026-04-23 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.41%E +0.894%K +0.958%G +0.129%4.7%2026-04-24 03:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV +2.07%E +0.154%K +0.166%G +0.003%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
GTbets🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.75%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%13.18I 7.59%NM 7.25%EV -0.347%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:25
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:31
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:29
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:25
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.49%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.49%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:20
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.49%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.49%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:20
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:45
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.83%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:30
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.83%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.83%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -20.61%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.61%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.61%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:50
Everygame🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:00
Bet Victor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -28.17%E -2.97%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:38
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -2.94%E -2.80%K -58.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -31.95%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:35
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.86%E -3.71%K -96.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -31.95%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:35
ReBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.40%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.60%EV -34.98%E -4.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-24 03:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-04-23 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-04-23 21:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-04-23 21:05
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 94.63%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.37%3.6%2026-04-23 23:50