La scuola delle quote

Aryna Sabalenka v Jaqueline Cristian

Inizio: 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 92.44%1.08quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -2.80%
Kelly -58.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.40%92.45%92.69%94.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.41%97.09%95.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jaqueline Cristian (Trasferta)

Previsione 7.56%13.23quota equa
EV +43.66%
Vantaggio +2.30%
Kelly +2.43%
Crescita +1.06%

ipotizzando la quota massima 19.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.09%7.55%7.31%10.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.6012.3712.0019.0011.63%8.08%8.33%5.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +43.66%E +2.30%K +2.43%G +1.06%3.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.54%E +1.68%K +1.78%G +0.509%3.0%2026-04-23 19:20
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 94.12%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.88%EV +24.76%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.395%3.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +20.98%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.293%3.3%2026-04-24 03:25
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 93.94%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%15.80I 6.33%NM 6.06%EV +19.46%E +1.23%K +1.32%G +0.256%4.4%2026-04-23 18:45
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.41%E +0.894%K +0.958%G +0.129%3.8%2026-04-23 18:10
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.41%E +0.894%K +0.958%G +0.129%4.7%2026-04-24 03:25
PointsBet (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV +2.07%E +0.154%K +0.166%G +0.003%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
GTbets1.03I 97.09%NM 92.75%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%13.18I 7.59%NM 7.25%EV -0.347%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:35
Bet Right1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:25
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:31
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:29
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 03:25
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -1.71%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Unibet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.49%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:30
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.49%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:20
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.49%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.66%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.49%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:20
888sport1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:20
William Hill1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:19
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:45
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:45
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:44
Bally Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:04
888sport (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Mr Green (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.27%E -0.772%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 03:20
theScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.83%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:30
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.83%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.83%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:30
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -20.61%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 20:45
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.61%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:45
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.61%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:45
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:50
Everygame1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:00
Bet Victor1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -28.17%E -2.97%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:38
PlayUp1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -2.94%E -2.80%K -58.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -31.95%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:35
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.86%E -3.71%K -96.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -31.95%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:35
ReBet1.02I 98.04%NM 89.40%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.61%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.60%EV -34.98%E -4.07%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-24 03:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-04-23 21:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-04-23 21:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-04-23 21:05
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 94.63%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.37%3.6%2026-04-23 23:50