Language:English
Anhelina Kalinina v Naomi Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anhelina Kalinina (Local)
Prediction 49.09%2.04fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.911%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.64%49.16%49.07%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.911.912.0055.25%52.23%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 50.91%1.96fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.84%50.93%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.861.861.9156.82%53.89%53.76%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anhelina Kalinina (Local): 49.09%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 50.91%. For Anhelina Kalinina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -1.82%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.82%E -0.911%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.34%E -4.03%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.80%E -1.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.80%E -1.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 23:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.83%E -3.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.77%E -2.46%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.29%E -2.28%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.26%E -2.72%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.31%E -2.85%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.82%E -3.14%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 02:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.83%E -3.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.83%E -3.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.80%E -2.57%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.32%E -3.44%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.36%E -4.64%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.36%E -4.64%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.20%E -4.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.83%E -3.73%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 20:18 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%EV -9.68%E -5.26%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%EV -8.87%E -4.96%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.76%E -1.45%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.16%EV -10.66%E -5.86%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.84%EV -10.40%E -5.91%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.30%EV -11.15%E -6.16%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.70%EV -10.40%E -5.91%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.49% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 47.51% | 17.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 40.54% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 59.46% | 24.6% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 40.54% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 59.46% | 24.6% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 40.54% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 59.46% | 24.6% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 50.00% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 50.00% | 52.7% | 2026-04-23 19:45 |