Language:English
Anastasia Zakharova v Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anastasia Zakharova (Local)
Prediction 8.72%11.46fair odd
EV +43.93%
Edge +2.66%
Kelly +2.83%
Growth +1.24%
assuming max odds 16.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.04%8.57%8.64%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.2211.0016.5011.76%8.92%9.09%6.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit)
Prediction 91.28%1.10fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -54.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.01%91.43%91.36%93.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0699.01%96.70%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Zakharova (Local): 8.72%; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit): 91.28%. For Anastasia Zakharova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.46. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +43.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.04%EV +43.93%E +2.66%K +2.83%G +1.24% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.96%EV -3.25%E -3.06%K -54.10%G +0.000% | 0.4% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +30.84%E +2.06%K +2.20%G +0.680% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +30.84%E +2.06%K +2.20%G +0.680% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.90%E -6.76%K -344.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.57%EV +29.10%E +1.97%K +2.11%G +0.614% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.43%EV -5.07%E -4.88%K -126.79%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.40%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.150% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.40%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.150% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +13.40%E +1.03%K +1.12%G +0.150% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 16:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.67%E +0.390%K +0.425%G +0.020% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.07%E -4.88%K -126.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 16:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.67%E +0.390%K +0.425%G +0.020% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.67%E +0.390%K +0.425%G +0.020% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.67%E +0.390%K +0.425%G +0.020% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.67%E +0.390%K +0.425%G +0.020% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.67%E +0.390%K +0.425%G +0.020% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.67%E +0.390%K +0.425%G +0.020% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +0.313%E +0.027%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -4.05%E -0.368%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.16%E -3.96%K -83.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.05%E -0.368%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.07%E -4.88%K -126.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.05%E -0.368%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 16:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.05%E -0.368%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -4.05%E -0.368%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.05%E -0.368%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.90%E -6.76%K -344.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -8.41%E -0.801%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.16%E -3.96%K -83.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -8.41%E -0.801%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.16%E -3.96%K -83.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.41%E -0.801%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.41%E -0.801%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.41%E -0.801%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.41%E -0.801%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.98%E -5.81%K -199.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.77%E -1.28%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.16%E -3.96%K -83.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 16:46 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.77%E -1.28%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.07%E -4.88%K -126.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.77%E -1.28%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.90%E -6.76%K -344.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.77%E -1.28%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -7.81%E -7.73%K -781.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.60%EV -16.26%E -1.69%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.40%EV -6.90%E -6.76%K -344.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.13%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.07%E -4.88%K -126.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.13%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.07%E -4.88%K -126.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -17.13%E -1.80%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.07%E -4.88%K -126.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.49%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -6.90%E -6.76%K -344.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.86%E -3.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.16%E -3.96%K -83.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -25.86%E -3.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.16%E -3.96%K -83.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -25.86%E -3.04%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.07%E -4.88%K -126.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 16:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.05% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.95% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 11.71% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.29% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |