Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.43
assuming max odds 6.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 76.65%; Teodora Kostovic (Visit): 23.35%. For Teodora Kostovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +40.13%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -14.92%E -13.44%K -135.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +40.13%E +6.69%K +8.03%G +3.22% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -14.16%E -12.64%K -117.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +28.45%E +5.17%K +6.32%G +1.80% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -14.16%E -12.64%K -117.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV +19.11%E +3.75%K +4.66%G +0.891% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.03%E -6.69%K -40.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.10%E +1.13%K +1.46%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.56%E -8.10%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +5.10%E +1.13%K +1.46%G +0.074% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.32%E -8.82%K -60.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +5.10%E +1.13%K +1.46%G +0.074% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -9.56%E -8.10%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV +3.93%E +0.883%K +1.14%G +0.045% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -9.56%E -8.10%K -53.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV +3.93%E +0.883%K +1.14%G +0.045% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.03%E -6.69%K -40.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.13%E +0.260%K +0.338%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.03%E -6.69%K -40.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.13%E +0.260%K +0.338%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.19%E -3.35%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.92%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV +1.17%E +0.888%K +3.66%G +0.043% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -18.26%E -5.22%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-20 17:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV +9.60%E +6.72%K +22.33%G +2.14% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -30.40%E -10.20%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV +4.24%E +3.12%K +11.77%G +0.499% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -32.27%E -11.13%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV +5.77%E +4.18%K +15.19%G +0.876% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -33.44%E -11.73%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 2.8% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.96% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.04% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 17:55 |