The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alina Charaeva v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alina Charaeva (Local)

Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV +8.68%
Edge +2.23%
Kelly +3.00%
Growth +0.261%

assuming max odds 3.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%27.95%28.73%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.253.8933.33%29.62%30.77%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit)

Prediction 72.06%1.39fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -5.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%72.05%71.27%75.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.311.3680.00%76.16%76.34%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alina Charaeva (Local): 27.94%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit): 72.06%. For Alina Charaeva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +8.68%E +2.23%K +3.00%G +0.261%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-20 08:05
GTbets🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV +5.89%E +1.55%K +2.11%G +0.124%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 07:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +5.61%E +1.48%K +2.02%G +0.113%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 08:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV +5.61%E +1.48%K +2.02%G +0.113%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 08:10
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +4.77%E +1.27%K +1.74%G +0.083%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 08:15
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.21%E -0.632%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 08:05
Everygame🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.21%E -0.632%K -0.885%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 08:00
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 08:10
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 08:15
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 08:15
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.60%E -4.28%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 08:14
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.18%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.00%E -1.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 08:15
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.18%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.00%E -1.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 08:15
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.18%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.00%E -1.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 08:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.18%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.00%E -1.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 08:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.18%E -5.39%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.00%E -1.47%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-04-20 08:15