The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Yue Yuan v Simona Waltert

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yue Yuan (Local)

Prediction 42.68%2.34fair odd
EV +28.04%
Edge +9.35%
Kelly +14.02%
Growth +3.93%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%42.19%42.80%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.292.343.0052.63%43.76%42.74%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Simona Waltert (Visit)

Prediction 57.32%1.74fair odd
EV +4.90%
Edge +2.68%
Kelly +5.90%
Growth +0.289%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%57.81%57.20%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.621.571.8373.53%61.74%63.69%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yue Yuan (Local): 42.68%; Simona Waltert (Visit): 57.32%. For Yue Yuan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +28.04%E +9.35%K +14.02%G +3.93%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -22.04%E -16.21%K -61.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 10:33
GTbets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV +18.22%E +6.58%K +10.30%G +1.88%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -16.89%E -11.65%K -37.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 09:05
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +11.82%E +4.51%K +7.30%G +0.862%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -17.46%E -12.12%K -39.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 10:34
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV +9.69%E +3.77%K +6.17%G +0.598%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -11.15%E -7.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 10:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +8.83%E +3.46%K +5.70%G +0.503%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -14.02%E -9.35%K -28.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 09:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV +7.13%E +2.84%K +4.72%G +0.336%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-05 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV +7.13%E +2.84%K +4.72%G +0.336%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -10.01%E -6.37%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-05 01:05
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV +6.70%E +2.68%K +4.47%G +0.299%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -16.31%E -11.17%K -35.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 10:34
ReBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV +5.42%E +2.19%K +3.69%G +0.200%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -11.15%E -7.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 08:10
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +2.43%E +1.01%K +1.74%G +0.042%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.15%E -7.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 00:59
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +2.43%E +1.01%K +1.74%G +0.042%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -14.02%E -9.35%K -28.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 07:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV +1.58%E +0.663%K +1.14%G +0.018%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -14.02%E -9.35%K -28.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 08:53
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -1.84%E -0.799%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -15.17%E -10.25%K -31.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-05 08:57
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 10:35
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 10:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -13.36%E -6.58%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV +3.18%E +1.76%K +3.97%G +0.126%4.8%2026-05-05 10:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -14.64%E -7.32%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.18%E +1.76%K +3.97%G +0.126%5.6%2026-05-05 10:35
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -14.64%E -7.32%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +1.46%E +0.823%K +1.89%G +0.028%6.5%2026-05-05 10:35
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -18.48%E -9.68%K -20.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +4.90%E +2.68%K +5.90%G +0.289%7.0%2026-05-05 10:35
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -18.48%E -9.68%K -20.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +4.90%E +2.68%K +5.90%G +0.289%7.0%2026-05-05 10:35
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -18.48%E -9.68%K -20.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV +3.18%E +1.76%K +3.97%G +0.126%7.9%2026-05-05 10:35
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -18.48%E -9.68%K -20.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -0.262%E -0.151%K -0.354%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 10:35
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -18.91%E -9.95%K -21.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV +3.18%E +1.76%K +3.97%G +0.126%8.2%2026-05-05 10:35
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -18.91%E -9.95%K -21.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV +3.18%E +1.76%K +3.97%G +0.126%8.2%2026-05-05 10:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-05 10:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-05-05 10:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%1.6%2026-05-05 10:35
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%7.3%2026-05-05 10:35
Novig◎2.19I 45.66%NM 41.76%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%9.4%2026-05-05 10:35