Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.18
assuming max odds 1.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xinyu Wang (Local): 45.53%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 54.47%. For Xinyu Wang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -0.741%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.741%E -0.340%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 08:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.02%E -1.42%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.96%E -1.09%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-08 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.02%E -1.42%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.77%E -3.33%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 08:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 09:02 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.47%E -1.64%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.14%E -2.35%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.77%E -3.33%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.77%E -3.33%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.77%E -3.33%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.77%E -3.33%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.31%E -3.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.86%E -4.01%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.86%E -4.01%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.86%E -4.01%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.38%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.84%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.05%E -1.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.84%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.05%E -1.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.84%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 08:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.75%E -2.78%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.05%E -1.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.59%E -2.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 08:57 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.68%E -2.67%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.22%E -3.00%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.77%E -3.33%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.77%E -3.33%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.77%E -3.33%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.77%E -3.33%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.40%E -4.36%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 08:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.04%E -5.41%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -9.39%E -4.72%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -3.05%E -1.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 1.7% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |