Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Viktorija Golubic v Federica Urgesi

Início: 2026-05-06 11:51 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Viktorija Golubic (Local)

Previsão 67.01%1.49odd justa
EV +7.21%
Vantagem +4.51%
Kelly +12.02%
Crescimento +0.867%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.97%66.65%66.67%70.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.441.441.6076.92%69.33%69.44%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Federica Urgesi (Visitante)

Previsão 32.99%3.03odd justa
EV +5.58%
Vantagem +1.74%
Kelly +2.53%
Crescimento +0.141%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.21%33.35%33.33%41.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.712.703.2044.44%36.93%37.04%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Viktorija Golubic (Local): 67.01%; Federica Urgesi (Visitante): 32.99%. Para Viktorija Golubic (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.49. 18 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.21%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +7.21%E +4.51%K +12.02%G +0.867%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -24.12%E -10.49%K -18.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 11:49
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV +5.20%E +3.31%K +9.13%G +0.475%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -16.20%E -6.38%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +2.52%E +1.65%K +4.76%G +0.120%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:39
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV +2.52%E +1.65%K +4.76%G +0.120%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -22.47%E -9.56%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +1.85%E +1.22%K +3.56%G +0.066%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -20.82%E -8.67%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 11:39
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +1.85%E +1.22%K +3.56%G +0.066%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -20.82%E -8.67%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 11:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.32%G +0.027%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -12.90%E -4.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.32%G +0.027%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -12.90%E -4.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 11:39
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.32%G +0.027%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -13.56%E -5.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 11:50
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.32%G +0.027%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 11:49
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 11:39
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -12.90%E -4.89%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 11:39
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -13.23%E -5.03%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 11:49
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 11:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -14.88%E -5.77%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 11:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -15.87%E -6.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 11:39
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -19.17%E -7.82%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 11:50
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -0.159%E -0.107%K -0.324%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 11:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.829%E -0.560%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -0.829%E -0.560%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -22.47%E -9.56%K -16.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:50
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 11:49
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -25.77%E -11.45%K -20.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-06 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:50
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.56%E -5.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 11:49
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:50
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:49
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 11:50
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:50
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:50
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 11:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-06 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +3.93%E +1.25%K +1.83%G +0.072%4.7%2026-05-06 11:50
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV +3.60%E +1.15%K +1.68%G +0.060%5.4%2026-05-06 11:49
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:49
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +5.58%E +1.74%K +2.53%G +0.141%5.3%2026-05-06 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +3.93%E +1.25%K +1.83%G +0.072%5.8%2026-05-06 11:50
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +3.93%E +1.25%K +1.83%G +0.072%5.8%2026-05-06 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.88%E -8.18%K -32.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +5.58%E +1.74%K +2.53%G +0.141%6.4%2026-05-06 11:50
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.88%E -8.18%K -32.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.511%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -12.89%E -9.92%K -42.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +3.93%E +1.25%K +1.83%G +0.072%8.7%2026-05-06 11:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-05-06 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-05-06 11:50
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-05-06 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-05-06 11:50
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%4.3%2026-05-06 11:47
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%6.5%2026-05-06 11:50