La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Viktorija Golubic v Federica Urgesi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Viktorija Golubic (Local)
Predicción 67.01%1.49momio equitativo
EV +7.21%
Ventaja +4.51%
Kelly +12.02%
Crecimiento +0.867%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.97%66.65%66.67%70.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.441.441.6076.92%69.33%69.44%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Federica Urgesi (Visitante)
Predicción 32.99%3.03momio equitativo
EV +5.58%
Ventaja +1.74%
Kelly +2.53%
Crecimiento +0.141%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.21%33.35%33.33%41.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.712.703.2044.44%36.93%37.04%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +7.21%E +4.51%K +12.02%G +0.867% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -24.12%E -10.49%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 11:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV +5.20%E +3.31%K +9.13%G +0.475% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -16.20%E -6.38%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +2.52%E +1.65%K +4.76%G +0.120% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV +2.52%E +1.65%K +4.76%G +0.120% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -22.47%E -9.56%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +1.85%E +1.22%K +3.56%G +0.066% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -20.82%E -8.67%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV +1.85%E +1.22%K +3.56%G +0.066% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -20.82%E -8.67%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.32%G +0.027% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -12.90%E -4.89%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.32%G +0.027% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -12.90%E -4.89%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.32%G +0.027% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -13.56%E -5.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV +1.18%E +0.782%K +2.32%G +0.027% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 11:49 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -12.90%E -4.89%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -13.23%E -5.03%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 11:49 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -14.88%E -5.77%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -15.87%E -6.22%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -17.52%E -7.01%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +0.511%E +0.341%K +1.02%G +0.005% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -19.17%E -7.82%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| ReBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -0.159%E -0.107%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.829%E -0.560%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -0.829%E -0.560%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -22.47%E -9.56%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 11:49 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -25.77%E -11.45%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.56%E -5.18%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 11:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:49 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -5.52%E -3.91%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 11:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +3.93%E +1.25%K +1.83%G +0.072% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV +3.60%E +1.15%K +1.68%G +0.060% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 11:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 11:49 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +5.58%E +1.74%K +2.53%G +0.141% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +3.93%E +1.25%K +1.83%G +0.072% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV +3.93%E +1.25%K +1.83%G +0.072% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.88%E -8.18%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +5.58%E +1.74%K +2.53%G +0.141% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.88%E -8.18%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -1.02%E -0.341%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -12.89%E -9.92%K -42.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +3.93%E +1.25%K +1.83%G +0.072% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 2.3% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |
| Novig | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 11:47 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 11:50 |