The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Lulu Sun

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Prediction 73.90%1.35fair odd
EV +5.68%
Edge +3.97%
Kelly +13.22%
Growth +0.751%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.72%72.75%73.90%75.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.251.4381.97%78.59%80.00%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lulu Sun (Visit)

Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.779%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%27.25%26.10%32.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.553.633.7533.33%28.17%27.59%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local): 73.90%; Lulu Sun (Visit): 26.10%. For Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV +5.68%E +3.97%K +13.22%G +0.751%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -21.71%E -7.24%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-04 13:50
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.66%E -3.61%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.14%E -0.571%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 13:55
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.14%E -0.571%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.14%E -0.571%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 13:55
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.97%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 13:55
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -8.36%E -6.74%K -34.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.84%E -8.06%K -44.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.14%E -0.571%K -0.779%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-04 13:55