The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Taylor Townsend v Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Prediction 80.96%1.24fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -3.79%
Kelly -24.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.85%81.31%80.92%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.151.1889.29%86.74%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visit)

Prediction 19.04%5.25fair odd
EV +14.24%
Edge +2.37%
Kelly +2.85%
Growth +0.406%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%18.69%19.08%21.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.974.806.0022.73%20.11%20.83%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Townsend (Local): 80.96%; Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visit): 19.04%. For Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.32%E -8.33%K -77.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +14.24%E +2.37%K +2.85%G +0.406%6.0%2026-05-05 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 83.17%EV -4.47%E -3.79%K -24.82%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.83%EV +11.00%E +1.89%K +2.28%G +0.251%1.9%2026-05-05 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.71%E -6.76%K -55.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -0.040%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.90%E -6.00%K -45.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -2.90%E -0.568%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 14:45
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.90%E -6.00%K -45.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.80%E -0.960%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 14:43
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.71%E -6.76%K -55.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.80%E -0.960%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 14:45
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.28%E -4.51%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.61%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.28%E -4.51%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.61%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-05 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.09%E -5.25%K -38.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.61%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 14:45
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.71%E -6.76%K -55.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -9.56%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -7.71%E -6.76%K -55.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -11.46%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 14:45
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -7.71%E -6.76%K -55.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -11.46%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 14:45
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.09%E -5.25%K -38.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.42%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 14:44
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.47%E -3.79%K -24.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.22%E -3.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-05 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-05 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-05-05 14:45
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 85.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.25%3.2%2026-05-05 14:45
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 83.60%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.40%6.8%2026-05-05 14:45