Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Townsend v Iva Jović

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 19:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Prediction 45.36%2.20fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.920%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.18%45.41%45.31%46.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.2550.00%47.79%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iva Jović (Visit)

Prediction 54.64%1.83fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.30%54.59%54.69%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.731.731.7859.17%57.76%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Townsend (Local): 45.36%; Iva Jović (Visit): 54.64%. For Taylor Townsend (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +2.07%E +0.920%K +1.66%G +0.034%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-09 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.10%E -0.507%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.10%E -0.507%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 19:10
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.01%E -0.932%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.75%E -1.54%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 19:10
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.47%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 19:10
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.83%E -1.81%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.93%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 19:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.28%E -2.03%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 19:10
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 19:10
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.93%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:09
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.93%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.93%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:10
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:09
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:09
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:09
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:09
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 19:09
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.19%E -2.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 19:10
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -5.19%E -2.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.19%E -2.48%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.93%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 19:09
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:10
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.93%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:10
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.93%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:09
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.93%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 19:09
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.00%E -3.42%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 18:58
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:08
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 19:10
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 19:10
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.27%E -4.64%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.67%E -4.54%K -11.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%-0.1%2026-05-09 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-09 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-09 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-09 19:10
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-05-09 19:10
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%3.4%2026-05-09 19:10