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Tatjana Maria v Sorana Cirstea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tatjana Maria (Local)
Prediction 14.34%6.98fair odd
EV +14.68%
Edge +1.84%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.308%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%14.32%14.42%17.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.376.258.0019.05%15.71%16.00%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visit)
Prediction 85.66%1.17fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -9.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.81%85.68%85.58%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.101.1593.46%90.40%90.91%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tatjana Maria (Local): 14.34%; Sorana Cirstea (Visit): 85.66%. For Tatjana Maria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.98. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +14.68%E +1.84%K +2.10%G +0.308% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.48%E -6.93%K -93.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +14.68%E +1.84%K +2.10%G +0.308% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.48%E -6.93%K -93.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46%EV +11.81%E +1.51%K +1.74%G +0.205% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.54%EV -4.91%E -4.43%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +8.95%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.121% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.51%E +1.00%K +1.16%G +0.087% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.48%E -6.93%K -93.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV +4.93%E +0.674%K +0.780%G +0.038% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV +4.93%E +0.674%K +0.780%G +0.038% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 11:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.28I 13.74%NM 13.13%EV +4.36%E +0.599%K +0.694%G +0.030% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.87%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.345%E +0.049%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.345%E +0.049%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.48%E -6.93%K -93.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.345%E +0.049%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.48%E -6.93%K -93.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.345%E +0.049%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.48%E -6.93%K -93.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.345%E +0.049%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.48%E -6.93%K -93.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +0.345%E +0.049%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.34%E -7.79%K -119.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.96%E -0.590%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.91%E -4.43%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -3.96%E -0.590%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 11:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -5.39%E -0.816%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.06%E -3.62%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.82%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.06%E -3.62%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.82%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.91%E -4.43%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.82%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 11:57 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.82%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.82%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.82%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.82%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.63%E -6.08%K -73.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.82%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.48%E -6.93%K -93.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.82%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.48%E -6.93%K -93.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.26%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.63%E -6.08%K -73.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -8.26%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.63%E -6.08%K -73.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.41%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.06%E -3.62%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.41%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.91%E -4.43%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -10.41%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.41%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.63%E -6.08%K -73.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -10.41%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.38%EV -8.34%E -7.79%K -119.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.27%EV -13.27%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.73%EV -6.63%E -6.08%K -73.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.06%E -3.62%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.06%E -3.62%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.91%E -4.43%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.63%E -6.08%K -73.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -13.99%E -2.33%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.34%E -7.79%K -119.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.24%EV -14.99%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.76%EV -1.49%E -1.29%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -16.86%E -2.91%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -5.77%E -5.24%K -57.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -19.72%E -3.52%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -19.72%E -3.52%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -19.72%E -3.52%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -19.72%E -3.52%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -19.72%E -3.52%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -19.72%E -3.52%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -3.20%E -2.83%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -20.44%E -3.68%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -1.49%E -1.29%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.16%E -3.85%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.06%E -3.62%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 11:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -21.16%E -3.85%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -4.91%E -4.43%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -22.59%E -4.18%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -4.91%E -4.43%K -44.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -24.74%E -4.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.81%EV -6.63%E -6.08%K -73.61%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33% | 2.0% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Novig◎ | 6.94I 14.41%NM 13.36% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.64% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |