Language:English
Renata Zarazua v Federica Urgesi
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Renata Zarazua (Local)
assuming max odds 1.19
Federica Urgesi (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Renata Zarazua (Local): 80.21%; Federica Urgesi (Visit): 19.79%. For Federica Urgesi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.054. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.050, with an expected value of -0.084%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.54%E -3.82%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV -0.084%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-04 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.54%E -3.82%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.99%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -5.35%E -4.53%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV -1.67%E -0.335%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -5.35%E -4.53%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.19%EV -1.67%E -0.335%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.35%E -4.53%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.02%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.35%E -4.53%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.99%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.15%E -5.26%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.99%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.15%E -5.26%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -12.94%E -2.94%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.15%E -5.26%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -12.94%E -2.94%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 14:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.95%E -5.99%K -43.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.97%E -2.44%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.95%E -5.99%K -43.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.97%E -2.44%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.95%E -5.99%K -43.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.94%E -2.94%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 14:52 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.56%E -7.50%K -61.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.03%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 14:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-05-04 14:55 |