Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebeka Masarova v Moyuka Uchijima

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 16:56 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebeka Masarova (Local)

Prediction 54.12%1.85fair odd

EV +1.75%

Edge +0.930%

Kelly +1.99%

Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.72%54.61%53.23%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.721.761.8863.69%58.09%56.82%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Moyuka Uchijima (Visit)

Prediction 45.88%2.18fair odd

EV +5.52%

Edge +2.40%

Kelly +4.25%

Growth +0.235%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.57%45.39%46.77%48.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.942.082.052.3051.55%48.13%48.78%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rebeka Masarova (Local): 54.12%; Moyuka Uchijima (Visit): 45.88%. For Moyuka Uchijima (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.03%E -9.57%K -26.37%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +5.52%E +2.40%K +4.25%G +0.235%	7.2%	2026-05-04 16:55
Betway🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -10.70%E -6.48%K -16.46%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.23%E +1.43%K +2.58%G +0.083%	5.1%	2026-05-04 16:55
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -15.03%E -9.57%K -26.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +3.23%E +1.43%K +2.58%G +0.083%	8.1%	2026-05-04 16:55
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -15.03%E -9.57%K -26.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +3.23%E +1.43%K +2.58%G +0.083%	8.1%	2026-05-04 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-04 16:52
Fliff🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -12.87%E -7.99%K -21.09%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.65%E -1.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-05-04 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.66%E -2.06%K -4.70%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.57%E -2.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-04 16:52
GTbets🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV +1.75%E +0.930%K +1.99%G +0.035%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -7.32%E -3.63%K -7.18%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-05-04 16:04
Pinnacle🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -0.417%E -0.227%K -0.497%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -7.32%E -3.63%K -7.18%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-05-04 16:55
PlayUp🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -1.50%E -0.824%K -1.83%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -10.54%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-04 16:50
Everygame🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.29%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.54%E -5.40%K -11.09%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-05-04 16:04
Betsson🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-04 16:05
NordicBet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-04 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -5.29%E -3.02%K -7.05%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -10.99%E -5.67%K -11.70%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-05-04 16:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%	2.4%	2026-05-04 16:50