L’École des cotes

Peyton Stearns v Janice Tjen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Prévision 56.47%1.77cote équitable
EV +4.47%
Avantage +2.42%
Kelly +5.26%
Croissance +0.235%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.07%57.61%55.26%69.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.611.671.8573.53%61.97%59.88%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Janice Tjen (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.53%2.30cote équitable
EV +34.94%
Avantage +11.27%
Kelly +16.64%
Croissance +5.81%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.49%42.39%44.74%48.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.842.312.103.1054.35%43.21%47.62%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -22.07%E -15.99%K -58.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +34.94%E +11.27%K +16.64%G +5.81%4.7%2026-05-06 13:10
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -23.20%E -17.06%K -64.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +34.94%E +11.27%K +16.64%G +5.81%5.8%2026-05-06 13:09
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -22.63%E -16.52%K -61.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV +34.07%E +11.06%K +16.38%G +5.58%5.5%2026-05-06 13:03
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -18.68%E -12.97%K -42.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +29.72%E +9.97%K +15.01%G +4.46%3.0%2026-05-06 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -19.81%E -13.95%K -47.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +25.36%E +8.81%K +13.49%G +3.42%5.1%2026-05-06 13:08
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -19.25%E -13.46%K -44.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +24.06%E +8.44%K +13.00%G +3.13%5.0%2026-05-06 13:10
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -19.25%E -13.46%K -44.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +24.06%E +8.44%K +13.00%G +3.13%5.0%2026-05-06 13:03
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -19.81%E -13.95%K -47.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +21.88%E +7.81%K +12.16%G +2.66%6.1%2026-05-06 13:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -17.55%E -12.02%K -38.16%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +20.57%E +7.43%K +11.62%G +2.39%4.6%2026-05-06 12:59
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -20.94%E -14.96%K -52.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +19.70%E +7.17%K +11.26%G +2.22%7.8%2026-05-06 13:07
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -15.86%E -10.64%K -32.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +18.40%E +6.76%K +10.70%G +1.97%3.9%2026-05-06 13:15
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -15.86%E -10.64%K -32.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +18.40%E +6.76%K +10.70%G +1.97%3.9%2026-05-06 13:15
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -18.12%E -12.49%K -40.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +17.53%E +6.49%K +10.31%G +1.81%6.0%2026-05-06 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -18.68%E -12.97%K -42.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +15.35%E +5.79%K +9.30%G +1.43%7.2%2026-05-06 13:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -18.68%E -12.97%K -42.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +15.35%E +5.79%K +9.30%G +1.43%7.2%2026-05-06 13:10
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -14.73%E -9.75%K -28.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +13.18%E +5.07%K +8.23%G +1.08%4.7%2026-05-06 13:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -16.42%E -11.10%K -34.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +8.82%E +3.53%K +5.88%G +0.519%7.6%2026-05-06 13:20
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -11.91%E -7.63%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +6.65%E +2.71%K +4.58%G +0.305%4.9%2026-05-06 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.29%E -10.20%K -30.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.65%E +2.71%K +4.58%G +0.305%7.5%2026-05-06 13:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.29%E -10.20%K -30.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.65%E +2.71%K +4.58%G +0.305%7.5%2026-05-06 13:19
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.91%E -7.63%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +2.29%E +0.976%K +1.70%G +0.039%6.7%2026-05-06 13:19
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -9.08%E -5.64%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +1.42%E +0.610%K +1.07%G +0.015%5.0%2026-05-06 13:19
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.78%E -6.82%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +0.116%E +0.051%K +0.089%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.95%E -4.88%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.754%E -0.331%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -11.34%E -7.22%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -5.11%E -2.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-06 13:20
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -8.52%E -5.26%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-06 13:18
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.69%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 13:20
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.82%E -4.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:19
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.46%E -4.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 13:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.46%E -4.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 13:20
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -9.46%E -4.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 13:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -9.90%E -4.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -9.90%E -4.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -9.90%E -4.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -9.90%E -4.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -10.33%E -5.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 13:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.77%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 13:20
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -11.20%E -5.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 13:20
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.65%E +0.916%K +2.06%G +0.034%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 13:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 13:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 13:20
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -4.56%E -2.70%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-06 13:20
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.57%EV -7.39%E -4.50%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.43%EV -14.25%E -7.23%K -14.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-06 13:20
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +4.47%E +2.42%K +5.26%G +0.235%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -15.12%E -7.75%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:20
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +3.34%E +1.83%K +4.03%G +0.135%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -16.86%E -8.83%K -18.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:19
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +3.34%E +1.83%K +4.03%G +0.135%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -16.86%E -8.83%K -18.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -0.611%E -0.347%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -19.91%E -10.82%K -23.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-06 13:20
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-05-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-05-06 13:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%3.3%2026-05-06 13:20
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%6.4%2026-05-06 13:20