مدرسة الاحتمالات

Peyton Stearns v Janice Tjen

البداية: 2026-05-06 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Peyton Stearns (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.47%1.77السعر العادل
EV +4.47%
الأفضلية +2.42%
Kelly +5.26%
النمو +0.235%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.07%57.61%55.26%69.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.611.671.8573.53%61.97%59.88%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Janice Tjen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.53%2.30السعر العادل
EV +34.94%
الأفضلية +11.27%
Kelly +16.64%
النمو +5.81%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.49%42.39%44.74%48.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.842.312.103.1054.35%43.21%47.62%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -22.07%E -15.99%K -58.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +34.94%E +11.27%K +16.64%G +5.81%4.7%2026-05-06 13:10
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -23.20%E -17.06%K -64.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +34.94%E +11.27%K +16.64%G +5.81%5.8%2026-05-06 13:09
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -22.63%E -16.52%K -61.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV +34.07%E +11.06%K +16.38%G +5.58%5.5%2026-05-06 13:03
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -18.68%E -12.97%K -42.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +29.72%E +9.97%K +15.01%G +4.46%3.0%2026-05-06 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -19.81%E -13.95%K -47.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +25.36%E +8.81%K +13.49%G +3.42%5.1%2026-05-06 13:08
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -19.25%E -13.46%K -44.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +24.06%E +8.44%K +13.00%G +3.13%5.0%2026-05-06 13:10
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -19.25%E -13.46%K -44.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +24.06%E +8.44%K +13.00%G +3.13%5.0%2026-05-06 13:03
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -19.81%E -13.95%K -47.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +21.88%E +7.81%K +12.16%G +2.66%6.1%2026-05-06 13:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -17.55%E -12.02%K -38.16%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +20.57%E +7.43%K +11.62%G +2.39%4.6%2026-05-06 12:59
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -20.94%E -14.96%K -52.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +19.70%E +7.17%K +11.26%G +2.22%7.8%2026-05-06 13:07
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -15.86%E -10.64%K -32.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +18.40%E +6.76%K +10.70%G +1.97%3.9%2026-05-06 13:15
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -15.86%E -10.64%K -32.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +18.40%E +6.76%K +10.70%G +1.97%3.9%2026-05-06 13:15
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -18.12%E -12.49%K -40.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +17.53%E +6.49%K +10.31%G +1.81%6.0%2026-05-06 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -18.68%E -12.97%K -42.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +15.35%E +5.79%K +9.30%G +1.43%7.2%2026-05-06 13:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -18.68%E -12.97%K -42.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +15.35%E +5.79%K +9.30%G +1.43%7.2%2026-05-06 13:10
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -14.73%E -9.75%K -28.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +13.18%E +5.07%K +8.23%G +1.08%4.7%2026-05-06 13:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -16.42%E -11.10%K -34.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV +8.82%E +3.53%K +5.88%G +0.519%7.6%2026-05-06 13:20
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -11.91%E -7.63%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +6.65%E +2.71%K +4.58%G +0.305%4.9%2026-05-06 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.29%E -10.20%K -30.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.65%E +2.71%K +4.58%G +0.305%7.5%2026-05-06 13:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.29%E -10.20%K -30.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +6.65%E +2.71%K +4.58%G +0.305%7.5%2026-05-06 13:19
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.91%E -7.63%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +2.29%E +0.976%K +1.70%G +0.039%6.7%2026-05-06 13:19
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -9.08%E -5.64%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +1.42%E +0.610%K +1.07%G +0.015%5.0%2026-05-06 13:19
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.78%E -6.82%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +0.116%E +0.051%K +0.089%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.95%E -4.88%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.754%E -0.331%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -11.34%E -7.22%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -5.11%E -2.34%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-06 13:20
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.41%E -2.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -8.52%E -5.26%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -7.72%E -3.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-06 13:18
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.69%E -3.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 13:20
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.82%E -4.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.59%E -4.09%K -7.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:19
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.46%E -4.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 13:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -3.43%E -2.01%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.46%E -4.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 13:20
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -9.46%E -4.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 13:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -9.90%E -4.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -9.90%E -4.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -9.90%E -4.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -4.00%E -2.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -9.90%E -4.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -1.74%E -1.00%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -10.33%E -5.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 13:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.77%E -5.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 13:20
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -11.20%E -5.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 13:20
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.65%E +0.916%K +2.06%G +0.034%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 13:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 13:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.30%E -1.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 13:20
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -4.56%E -2.70%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.13%E -3.05%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.94%E -6.47%K -12.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-06 13:20
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.57%EV -7.39%E -4.50%K -11.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.43%EV -14.25%E -7.23%K -14.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-06 13:20
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +4.47%E +2.42%K +5.26%G +0.235%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -15.12%E -7.75%K -15.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:20
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +3.34%E +1.83%K +4.03%G +0.135%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -16.86%E -8.83%K -18.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:19
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +3.34%E +1.83%K +4.03%G +0.135%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -16.86%E -8.83%K -18.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -0.611%E -0.347%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -19.91%E -10.82%K -23.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 13:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-06 13:20
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-05-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-05-06 13:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%3.3%2026-05-06 13:20
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%6.4%2026-05-06 13:20