Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panna Udvardy v Alina Korneeva

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 09:06 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panna Udvardy (Local)

Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd
EV -0.486%
Edge -0.264%
Kelly -0.578%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%54.00%54.10%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.761.771.8460.24%56.87%56.50%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alina Korneeva (Visit)

Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.00%45.90%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.032.022.1252.63%49.18%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panna Udvardy (Local): 54.08%; Alina Korneeva (Visit): 45.92%. For Panna Udvardy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.84, with an expected value of -0.486%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -0.486%E -0.264%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 09:05
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -1.03%E -0.561%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -7.71%E -3.84%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 09:04
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -1.03%E -0.561%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.57%E -0.861%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 09:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.57%E -0.861%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 09:03
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 09:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 09:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 08:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 09:04
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 09:04
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.76%E -6.72%K -14.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:04
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:03
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:03
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:03
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:03
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:03
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:03
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:03
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:03
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.19%E -1.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 09:04
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.73%E -2.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.04%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 08:59
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 09:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 09:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 09:03
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.27%E -2.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 09:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.81%E -2.73%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.41%E -2.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -4.81%E -2.73%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 09:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -4.81%E -2.73%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 09:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 09:05
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.04%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 08:59
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.89%E -3.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 08:59
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.89%E -3.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:05
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.89%E -3.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.89%E -3.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 09:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.89%E -3.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 09:04
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.43%E -3.72%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 09:05
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.43%E -3.72%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.43%E -3.72%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 09:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.43%E -3.72%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 09:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 09:05
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 09:03
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.52%E -4.40%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:05
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:05
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 09:01
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 09:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 09:03
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.60%E -5.09%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 09:05
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.68%E -5.80%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 09:05
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.68%E -5.80%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.22%E -6.16%K -15.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.00%E -5.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-06 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-06 09:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-06 09:05
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-06 09:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-06 09:05
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%5.4%2026-05-06 09:05