L’École des cotes

Oksana Selekhmeteva v Rebeka Masarova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 14:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Local)

Prévision 42.84%2.33cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.828%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.09%42.84%42.88%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.212.202.2947.62%45.34%45.45%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rebeka Masarova (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.16%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.542%
Avantage -0.312%
Kelly -0.733%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%57.16%57.12%57.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.661.7462.50%60.27%60.24%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -1.90%E -0.828%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.01%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 14:45
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 14:44
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 14:45
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.75%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 14:45
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -2.75%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 14:45
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.61%E -1.60%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 14:42
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.61%E -1.60%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:46
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.61%E -1.60%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:44
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 14:45
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.32%E -2.41%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:45
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:42
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:45
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 14:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:42
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:45
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.54%E -5.34%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 14:45
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.54%E -5.34%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 14:44
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:43
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 14:45
Betsson2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.04%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 14:42
NordicBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.04%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 14:42
Unibet (UK)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.04%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 14:42
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 14:45
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 14:45
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.542%E -0.312%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 14:44
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.04%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.11%E -0.644%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:41
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.04%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 14:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-05-06 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-05-06 14:45
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-05-06 14:46