La escuela de los momios

Oksana Selekhmeteva v Rebeka Masarova

Inicio: 2026-05-06 14:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Local)

Predicción 42.84%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.828%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.09%42.84%42.88%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.2947.62%45.34%45.45%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rebeka Masarova (Visitante)

Predicción 57.16%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.542%
Ventaja -0.312%
Kelly -0.733%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%57.16%57.12%57.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.661.7462.50%60.27%60.24%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -1.90%E -0.828%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.40%E -2.01%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 14:45
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 14:44
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 14:45
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.75%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 14:45
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -2.75%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 14:45
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.61%E -1.60%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 14:42
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.61%E -1.60%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 14:46
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.61%E -1.60%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:44
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.47%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:45
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.97%E -2.36%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 14:45
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.32%E -2.41%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.54%E -2.72%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 14:45
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:45
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 14:42
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:45
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 14:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:42
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:45
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:45
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 14:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.54%E -5.34%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 14:45
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.54%E -5.34%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 14:44
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:43
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.61%E -3.03%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 14:45
Betsson2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.04%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 14:42
NordicBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.04%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 14:42
Unibet (UK)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.04%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 14:42
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 14:45
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.26%E -3.82%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.97%E -4.95%K -13.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 14:45
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -0.542%E -0.312%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 14:44
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.04%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.11%E -0.644%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 14:41
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.04%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.11%E -3.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 14:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-05-06 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-05-06 14:45
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-05-06 14:46