The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Noemi Basiletti v Daria Snigur

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Noemi Basiletti (Local)

Prediction 19.80%5.05fair odd
EV +12.87%
Edge +2.26%
Kelly +2.74%
Growth +0.352%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.42%19.66%19.75%22.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.674.505.7024.39%21.41%22.22%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daria Snigur (Visit)

Prediction 80.20%1.25fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -18.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.65%80.34%80.25%83.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.181.2089.29%85.61%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Noemi Basiletti (Local): 19.80%; Daria Snigur (Visit): 80.20%. For Noemi Basiletti (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV +12.87%E +2.26%K +2.74%G +0.352%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -10.18%E -9.09%K -84.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 11:20
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +8.91%E +1.62%K +1.98%G +0.176%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.77%E -6.76%K -51.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 11:20
Pinnacle🎯5.12I 19.53%NM 18.86%EV +1.39%E +0.271%K +0.336%G +0.005%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.14%EV -4.56%E -3.84%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-05 11:20
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.990%E -0.198%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.57%E -7.52%K -61.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 11:20
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -0.990%E -0.198%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.57%E -7.52%K -61.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 11:20
Fliff🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -7.92%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.77%E -6.76%K -51.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 11:20
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.91%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.56%E -3.84%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 11:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.89%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 11:19
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.89%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 11:19
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.89%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.17%E -5.27%K -36.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 11:18
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.89%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.97%E -6.01%K -43.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 11:14
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.87%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 11:20
TAB🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -14.85%E -3.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 11:20
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.84%E -3.73%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.76%E -3.14%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 11:20
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -18.81%E -4.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 11:20
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -18.81%E -4.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.37%E -4.55%K -29.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-05-05 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-05 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-05-05 11:20
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%8.6%2026-05-05 11:20
Novig◎4.95I 20.20%NM 18.45%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.55%9.5%2026-05-05 11:20