L’École des cotes

Maya Joint v Viktorija Golubic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 13:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Maya Joint (Local)

Prévision 40.76%2.45cote équitable
EV +7.20%
Avantage +2.74%
Kelly +4.42%
Croissance +0.318%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.01%41.77%40.57%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.862.212.302.6353.76%45.28%43.48%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Viktorija Golubic (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.24%1.69cote équitable
EV +13.15%
Avantage +6.88%
Kelly +14.45%
Croissance +1.90%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%58.23%59.43%63.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.641.571.9167.57%60.88%63.69%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -22.15%E -11.60%K -24.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +13.15%E +6.88%K +14.45%G +1.90%4.7%2026-05-07 13:03
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -18.89%E -9.49%K -19.08%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV +11.96%E +6.33%K +13.44%G +1.61%3.2%2026-05-07 13:05
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -21.33%E -11.05%K -22.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +11.37%E +6.05%K +12.92%G +1.47%5.0%2026-05-07 12:49
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -19.70%E -10.00%K -20.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV +10.78%E +5.76%K +12.39%G +1.34%4.2%2026-05-07 13:00
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -20.93%E -10.79%K -22.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +10.19%E +5.48%K +11.84%G +1.21%5.3%2026-05-07 13:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +9.59%E +5.19%K +11.29%G +1.08%5.3%2026-05-07 12:53
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +9.59%E +5.19%K +11.29%G +1.08%5.3%2026-05-07 13:00
Betr (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -21.74%E -11.32%K -23.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV +9.59%E +5.19%K +11.29%G +1.08%6.1%2026-05-07 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -24.19%E -13.00%K -28.12%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV +9.00%E +4.89%K +10.72%G +0.965%8.1%2026-05-07 12:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +7.82%E +4.30%K +9.53%G +0.745%6.2%2026-05-07 13:04
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -17.67%E -8.75%K -17.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +7.22%E +3.99%K +8.92%G +0.644%4.8%2026-05-07 12:49
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -21.33%E -11.05%K -22.94%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV +7.22%E +3.99%K +8.92%G +0.644%7.1%2026-05-07 12:50
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -16.44%E -8.02%K -15.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +6.63%E +3.68%K +8.29%G +0.550%4.3%2026-05-07 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -16.44%E -8.02%K -15.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +6.63%E +3.68%K +8.29%G +0.550%4.3%2026-05-07 13:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +6.63%E +3.68%K +8.29%G +0.550%6.8%2026-05-07 13:00
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -22.56%E -11.87%K -25.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV +6.63%E +3.68%K +8.29%G +0.550%8.2%2026-05-07 12:57
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +5.45%E +3.06%K +6.98%G +0.380%7.5%2026-05-07 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +5.45%E +3.06%K +6.98%G +0.380%7.5%2026-05-07 13:00
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.07%E -0.640%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:10
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.20%EV -13.18%E -6.19%K -11.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 13:08
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:09
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 13:09
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 13:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 13:09
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:10
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:10
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:10
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:10
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:10
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 13:09
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:08
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:09
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:09
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:10
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 13:09
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 13:09
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 13:10
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 13:09
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 13:10
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:09
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 13:09
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 13:09
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.77%E -5.69%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 13:09
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.07%E -3.10%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.77%E -5.69%K -16.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 13:09
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.77%E -5.69%K -16.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-07 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.77%E -5.69%K -16.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-07 13:09
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.36%E -6.12%K -17.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 13:09
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 13:10
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 13:09
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +7.20%E +2.74%K +4.42%G +0.318%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -12.32%E -8.33%K -25.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:09
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -12.32%E -8.33%K -25.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-05-07 13:10
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-07 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-07 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-05-07 13:10
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%5.6%2026-05-07 13:10
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%7.0%2026-05-07 13:10