La escuela de los momios

Maya Joint v Viktorija Golubic

Inicio: 2026-05-07 13:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Maya Joint (Local)

Predicción 40.76%2.45momio equitativo
EV +7.20%
Ventaja +2.74%
Kelly +4.42%
Crecimiento +0.318%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.01%41.77%40.57%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.862.212.302.6353.76%45.28%43.48%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viktorija Golubic (Visitante)

Predicción 59.24%1.69momio equitativo
EV +13.15%
Ventaja +6.88%
Kelly +14.45%
Crecimiento +1.90%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%58.23%59.43%63.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.641.571.9167.57%60.88%63.69%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -22.15%E -11.60%K -24.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +13.15%E +6.88%K +14.45%G +1.90%4.7%2026-05-07 13:03
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -18.89%E -9.49%K -19.08%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV +11.96%E +6.33%K +13.44%G +1.61%3.2%2026-05-07 13:05
ReBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -21.33%E -11.05%K -22.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +11.37%E +6.05%K +12.92%G +1.47%5.0%2026-05-07 12:49
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -19.70%E -10.00%K -20.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV +10.78%E +5.76%K +12.39%G +1.34%4.2%2026-05-07 13:00
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -20.93%E -10.79%K -22.26%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +10.19%E +5.48%K +11.84%G +1.21%5.3%2026-05-07 13:00
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +9.59%E +5.19%K +11.29%G +1.08%5.3%2026-05-07 12:53
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +9.59%E +5.19%K +11.29%G +1.08%5.3%2026-05-07 13:00
Betr (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -21.74%E -11.32%K -23.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV +9.59%E +5.19%K +11.29%G +1.08%6.1%2026-05-07 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -24.19%E -13.00%K -28.12%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV +9.00%E +4.89%K +10.72%G +0.965%8.1%2026-05-07 12:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV +7.82%E +4.30%K +9.53%G +0.745%6.2%2026-05-07 13:04
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -17.67%E -8.75%K -17.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +7.22%E +3.99%K +8.92%G +0.644%4.8%2026-05-07 12:49
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -21.33%E -11.05%K -22.94%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV +7.22%E +3.99%K +8.92%G +0.644%7.1%2026-05-07 12:50
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -16.44%E -8.02%K -15.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +6.63%E +3.68%K +8.29%G +0.550%4.3%2026-05-07 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -16.44%E -8.02%K -15.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +6.63%E +3.68%K +8.29%G +0.550%4.3%2026-05-07 13:00
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +6.63%E +3.68%K +8.29%G +0.550%6.8%2026-05-07 13:00
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -22.56%E -11.87%K -25.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV +6.63%E +3.68%K +8.29%G +0.550%8.2%2026-05-07 12:57
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +5.45%E +3.06%K +6.98%G +0.380%7.5%2026-05-07 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -20.52%E -10.52%K -21.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV +5.45%E +3.06%K +6.98%G +0.380%7.5%2026-05-07 13:00
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.07%E -0.640%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:10
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.20%EV -13.18%E -6.19%K -11.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.80%EV -4.03%E -2.49%K -6.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 13:08
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.22%E -3.26%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 13:09
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 13:09
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 13:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.81%E -3.65%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 13:09
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 13:10
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 13:10
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.40%E -4.05%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:10
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:10
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:10
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:10
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 13:09
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 13:09
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:08
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:09
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:09
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.44%E -2.34%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 13:10
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 13:09
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 13:09
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 13:10
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 13:09
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.59%E -4.86%K -13.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 13:10
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:09
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 13:10
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 13:09
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.25%E -2.72%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.18%E -5.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 13:09
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.21%E -1.79%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.77%E -5.69%K -16.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 13:09
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.07%E -3.10%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.77%E -5.69%K -16.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 13:09
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.77%E -5.69%K -16.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-07 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.29%E -3.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.77%E -5.69%K -16.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-07 13:09
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.36%E -6.12%K -17.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 13:09
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 13:10
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.33%E -4.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -11.14%E -7.43%K -22.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 13:09
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +7.20%E +2.74%K +4.42%G +0.318%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -12.32%E -8.33%K -25.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:09
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -2.18%E -0.907%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -12.32%E -8.33%K -25.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 13:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-05-07 13:10
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-07 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-07 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-05-07 13:10
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%5.6%2026-05-07 13:10
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%7.0%2026-05-07 13:10