Language:English
Marie Bouzkova v Taylor Townsend
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marie Bouzkova (Local)
Prediction 6.45%15.51fair odd
EV +132.17%
Edge +3.67%
Kelly +3.78%
Growth +4.99%
assuming max odds 36.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.73%6.44%6.31%10.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0015.2313.0036.0011.11%6.57%7.69%2.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Taylor Townsend (Visit)
Prediction 93.55%1.07fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.958%
Kelly +12.93%
Growth +0.134%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.64%93.56%93.69%97.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.031.08100.00%97.68%97.09%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 6.45%; Taylor Townsend (Visit): 93.55%. For Marie Bouzkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.51. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 36.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +132.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%EV +132.17%E +3.67%K +3.78%G +4.99% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +87.03%E +3.00%K +3.11%G +2.71% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -6.45%E -6.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +80.58%E +2.88%K +2.98%G +2.40% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.45%EV +80.58%E +2.88%K +2.98%G +2.40% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.55%EV -6.45%E -6.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +67.68%E +2.60%K +2.71%G +1.83% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +48.33%E +2.10%K +2.20%G +1.06% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +48.33%E +2.10%K +2.20%G +1.06% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 18:42 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +35.43%E +1.69%K +1.77%G +0.628% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.45%E -6.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +22.54%E +1.19%K +1.25%G +0.282% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -6.45%E -6.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.64%E +0.567%K +0.602%G +0.058% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.64%E +0.567%K +0.602%G +0.058% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.64%E +0.567%K +0.602%G +0.058% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.64%E +0.567%K +0.602%G +0.058% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +9.64%E +0.567%K +0.602%G +0.058% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -6.45%E -6.45%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -3.26%E -0.217%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.26%E -0.217%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 18:42 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -6.49%E -0.447%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -16.16%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -1.77%E -1.69%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -16.16%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -16.16%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -16.16%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.16%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -22.61%E -1.88%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.71%E -2.60%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%EV -24.16%E -2.05%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%EV +1.03%E +0.958%K +12.93%G +0.134% | 1.1% | 2026-05-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -25.83%E -2.25%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -2.71%E -2.60%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -25.83%E -2.25%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -2.71%E -2.60%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -25.83%E -2.25%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -2.71%E -2.60%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -25.83%E -2.25%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -2.71%E -2.60%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -25.83%E -2.25%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -2.71%E -2.60%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -25.83%E -2.25%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -2.71%E -2.60%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -25.83%E -2.25%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.59%EV -30.67%E -2.85%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.41%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -32.28%E -3.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -2.71%E -2.60%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -32.28%E -3.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -32.28%E -3.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -32.28%E -3.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -32.28%E -3.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -32.28%E -3.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.64%E -3.54%K -121.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 10.45I 9.57%NM 8.81%EV -32.61%E -3.12%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.19%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -551.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -35.51%E -3.55%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -1.77%E -1.69%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 18:42 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -35.51%E -3.55%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -35.51%E -3.55%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -4.58%E -4.49%K -228.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -41.96%E -4.66%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -2.71%E -2.60%K -67.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 18:43 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 18:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 25.97I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 18:42 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 18:43 |
| Matchbook◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32% | 1.8% | 2026-05-07 18:41 |
| Novig◎ | 20.83I 4.80%NM 4.58% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.42% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:42 |