The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kimberly Birrell v Yue Yuan

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kimberly Birrell (Local)

Prediction 41.30%2.42fair odd
EV -0.886%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.633%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%41.22%41.06%43.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.252.4046.51%44.13%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yue Yuan (Visit)

Prediction 58.70%1.70fair odd
EV -0.793%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.22%58.78%58.94%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6964.52%62.11%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kimberly Birrell (Local): 41.30%; Yue Yuan (Visit): 58.70%. For Yue Yuan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -0.793%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.886%E -0.369%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 11:55
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -1.30%E -0.544%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.02%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 11:55
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.02%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 11:55
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.02%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 11:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.02%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.793%E -0.469%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.793%E -0.469%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-04 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.31%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 11:45
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 11:55
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -10.38%E -4.79%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -0.793%E -0.469%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 07:20
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 09:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 37.76%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.24%8.6%2026-05-04 11:55