Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.07
assuming max odds 1.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jil Teichmann (Local): 35.59%; Rebeka Masarova (Visit): 64.41%. For Jil Teichmann (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.26%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.47%EV +9.26%E +3.02%K +4.48%G +0.415% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.53%EV -9.18%E -6.51%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +6.77%E +2.26%K +3.39%G +0.229% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -11.12%E -8.05%K -29.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.346%E -0.123%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.83%E -7.02%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.13%E -0.773%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.54%E -6.01%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -2.13%E -0.773%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -11.76%E -8.58%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -2.13%E -0.773%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -11.76%E -8.58%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.83%E -7.02%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-05 14:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -9.83%E -7.02%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.25%E -5.04%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.61%E -4.56%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.10%E -1.38%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.39%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -15.29%E -6.43%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -1.45%E -0.950%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -19.92%E -8.85%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +3.05%E +1.91%K +5.09%G +0.156% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 14:43 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 1.2% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 2.8% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |