Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.10
assuming max odds 1.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 33.53%; Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit): 66.47%. For Emma Navarro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.95%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV +3.95%E +1.27%K +1.88%G +0.074% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV +1.94%E +0.637%K +0.949%G +0.018% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.594%E +0.198%K +0.297%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.594%E +0.198%K +0.297%G +0.002% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.594%E +0.198%K +0.297%G +0.002% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +0.594%E +0.198%K +0.297%G +0.002% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -7.61%E -5.47%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -0.747%E -0.252%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.08%E -0.367%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.94%E -6.52%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -1.08%E -0.367%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.94%E -6.52%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.42%E -0.482%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.45%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.76%E -0.951%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.27%E -6.00%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 18:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.61%E -3.95%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.43%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.60%E -7.06%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.77%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.77%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 18:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.44%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.62%E -2.50%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.27%E -6.00%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.60%E -7.06%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -6.11%E -2.18%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -9.60%E -7.06%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.29%E -2.98%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.95%E -3.46%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 18:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.79%E -2.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.94%E -4.96%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 18:42 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -8.46%E -3.10%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -3.62%E -2.50%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.63%E -1.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.63%E -1.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.29%E -1.56%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.62%E -2.50%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -10.93%E -8.16%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.14%E -4.20%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.62%E -2.50%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -16.17%E -6.47%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +1.70%E +1.11%K +3.20%G +0.054% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 18:42 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 18:45 |