Language:English
Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Iga Swiatek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)
Prediction 12.53%7.98fair odd
EV +62.93%
Edge +4.84%
Kelly +5.24%
Growth +3.30%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.47%12.43%12.43%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.607.327.2513.0017.86%13.66%13.79%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visit)
Prediction 87.47%1.14fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -8.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.33%87.57%87.57%92.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.091.081.1396.15%92.09%92.59%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local): 12.53%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 87.47%. For Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.98. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +62.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +62.93%E +4.84%K +5.24%G +3.30% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -8.16%E -7.77%K -163.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +31.59%E +3.01%K +3.33%G +1.05% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -9.03%E -8.69%K -225.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +12.79%E +1.42%K +1.60%G +0.205% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.41%E -5.99%K -91.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +6.53%E +0.768%K +0.870%G +0.057% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -8.16%E -7.77%K -163.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +2.77%E +0.338%K +0.384%G +0.011% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +1.51%E +0.187%K +0.213%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.41%E -5.99%K -91.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +0.262%E +0.033%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -9.03%E -8.69%K -225.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.41%E -5.99%K -91.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.41%E -5.99%K -91.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.00%E -0.801%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.57%EV -8.51%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.43%EV -8.16%E -7.77%K -163.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.14%E -1.26%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 17:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -9.14%E -1.26%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.41%E -5.99%K -91.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.66%EV -10.52%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.34%EV -1.16%E -1.03%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -11.02%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.27%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.27%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.27%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.27%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.27%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.27%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.41%E -5.99%K -91.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.27%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.28%E -6.87%K -121.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.88I 14.53%NM 13.68%EV -13.77%E -2.00%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.32%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -14.78%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -2.91%E -2.62%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -14.78%E -2.17%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -2.91%E -2.62%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 17:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -15.40%E -2.28%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -2.91%E -2.62%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 17:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -15.40%E -2.28%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -4.66%E -4.28%K -51.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 17:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -15.40%E -2.28%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.65%EV -9.03%E -8.69%K -225.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -16.03%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -2.91%E -2.62%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -16.66%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -2.91%E -2.62%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.45%EV -17.66%E -2.69%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.55%EV -2.91%E -2.62%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 17:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -18.54%E -2.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.91%E -2.62%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 17:07 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -18.54%E -2.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.91%E -2.62%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 17:02 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -18.54%E -2.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 17:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -18.54%E -2.85%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.54%E -5.13%K -69.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV -19.41%E -3.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -1.16%E -1.03%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV -19.41%E -3.02%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -1.16%E -1.03%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -24.80%E -4.13%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.04%E -1.82%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 17:08 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -24.80%E -4.13%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -2.91%E -2.62%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -24.80%E -4.13%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 17:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -24.80%E -4.13%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.79%E -3.44%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 17:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -29.82%E -5.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -2.04%E -1.82%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 17:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -29.82%E -5.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -2.04%E -1.82%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 17:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.67% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.33% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |
| Novig◎ | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.72% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.28% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 17:09 |