L’École des cotes

Coco Gauff v Elina Svitolina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prévision 70.06%1.43cote équitable
EV +19.81%
Avantage +11.58%
Kelly +27.89%
Croissance +5.52%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.93%68.76%70.16%75.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.431.371.7182.64%69.84%73.26%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.94%3.34cote équitable
EV +14.07%
Avantage +3.69%
Kelly +5.01%
Croissance +0.704%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.25%31.24%29.84%44.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.883.003.8146.08%34.71%33.33%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV +19.81%E +11.58%K +27.89%G +5.52%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -35.03%E -16.14%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +19.10%E +11.24%K +27.29%G +5.21%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -33.54%E -15.11%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:04
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV +17.70%E +10.54%K +26.03%G +4.61%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -32.64%E -14.51%K -26.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 14:59
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV +17.00%E +10.18%K +25.38%G +4.31%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -33.54%E -15.11%K -27.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 14:59
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +17.00%E +10.18%K +25.38%G +4.31%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -34.14%E -15.52%K -28.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 15:45
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +16.30%E +9.82%K +24.70%G +4.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -30.54%E -13.17%K -23.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 15:55
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +16.30%E +9.82%K +24.70%G +4.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -30.54%E -13.17%K -23.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 15:55
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +15.60%E +9.46%K +24.00%G +3.74%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -33.24%E -14.90%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV +14.90%E +9.09%K +23.28%G +3.47%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -27.55%E -11.38%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 15:55
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV +14.20%E +8.71%K +22.54%G +3.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -31.14%E -13.54%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 16:08
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +14.20%E +8.71%K +22.54%G +3.20%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -32.64%E -14.51%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:04
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +13.50%E +8.33%K +21.77%G +2.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -31.14%E -13.54%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 14:58
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +13.50%E +8.33%K +21.77%G +2.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -31.14%E -13.54%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 15:45
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +13.50%E +8.33%K +21.77%G +2.94%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -34.14%E -15.52%K -28.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +13.50%E +8.33%K +21.77%G +2.94%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -34.14%E -15.52%K -28.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:55
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV +12.10%E +7.56%K +20.16%G +2.44%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -34.14%E -15.52%K -28.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 14:59
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV +10.70%E +6.77%K +18.44%G +1.97%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -32.04%E -14.11%K -25.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 15:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +8.60%E +5.55%K +15.63%G +1.34%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -28.15%E -11.73%K -20.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 16:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV +8.60%E +5.55%K +15.63%G +1.34%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -29.64%E -12.61%K -21.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV +0.889%E +0.617%K +2.02%G +0.018%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -13.18%E -4.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:20
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -0.512%E -0.361%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -16.17%E -5.78%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:20
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:20
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:20
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:20
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:20
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:20
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 16:20
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:19
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:20
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 16:20
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.70%E -0.831%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:20
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV +4.19%E +1.20%K +1.69%G +0.071%4.5%2026-05-16 16:20
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.523%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:20
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.18%E -4.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:20
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.523%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:20
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:20
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +4.78%E +1.37%K +1.91%G +0.092%6.1%2026-05-16 16:20
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.523%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -14.68%E -5.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.32%E -8.06%K -36.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.78%E +1.37%K +1.91%G +0.092%6.7%2026-05-16 16:20
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -11.02%E -8.68%K -40.82%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV +14.07%E +3.69%K +5.01%G +0.704%5.0%2026-05-16 16:17
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -13.12%E -10.58%K -54.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +13.77%E +3.62%K +4.92%G +0.677%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.75%EV -15.23%E -12.58%K -72.50%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.25%EV +13.17%E +3.48%K +4.74%G +0.624%9.1%2026-05-16 16:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-05-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-16 16:20
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-16 16:20
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-05-16 16:20
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20